Part of: Kai and Speed beat Minecraft challenge by...?
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge live on stream between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". All four objectives must be completed on the same seed and in the same world. Progress across multiple seeds will not be combined. Any successful attempt within the specified timeframe will qualify; however, no challenge progress may be carried over following an in-game death and the beginning of a new attempt. Practice or casual worlds not set to Hardcore will not count. No event will count if it occurs while the player in question is in Creative or Spectator mode, or if it results from the use of commands, cheats, or any external tool to spawn entities, alter the world, or deal damage. Only completion of the challenge as defined above will qualify. If Kai and Speed modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode, any completion achieved under the modified rules will not count toward resolution. Only events occurring while at least one of the two players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify. If the challenge is cancelled by, abandoned before completion by, or delayed to a point after the specified date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage from the official broadcasts of the challenge on Kai Cenat's and IShowSpeed's official broadcasts on YouTube and Twitch.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,165.
Categories: gaming, Culture, streamer, Minecraft, IShowSpeed, Live Streams
Notable Trades
92% win-rate serial bettor
A highly proven bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $2,159 Yes bet despite already-high odds.
- This bettor has won 92% of 719 resolved positions and is up $4.15 million.
- They invested $2,159 on Yes at 85¢, indicating strong conviction that the challenge will be completed.
- The wallet trades across 180 events and 244 markets, making this a fresh signal from an unusually experienced participant.
$2,159 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Serial cross-market bettor
An established serial cross-market bettor with 82% wins is taking a concentrated No position, though the 90% entry offers limited demonstrated price edge.
- This bettor has won 82% of 1,009 resolved trades and is up $815,145 lifetime.
- They are positioning No across three markets in the same event, with $4,061 of combined exposure.
- The $1,006 trade represented 151% of the detected 24-hour volume, signaling meaningful conviction despite the 90¢ entry.
$1,006 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0x0298...93c4 — No, $6,282 (64% win rate)
- 0x6978...08d8 — No, $5,042 (49% win rate)
- 0xd109...6fa0 — No, $4,343 (82% win rate)
- 0x9dfe...b3dd — No, $3,000 (67% win rate)
- 0x96f7...d6ae — No, $2,222 (81% win rate)
- 0x5109...5e9c — No, $2,004 (40% win rate)
- 0xac4a...bf1e — No, $1,212
- 0x215a...254c — No, $1,161
- 0x6944...7275 — No, $740
- 0xc754...bb99 — No, $673
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