Part of: LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?

Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $6,268.

Categories: Rewards 20, 4.5, 50, US Election, Politics, LA, Elections, Mayoral Elections, Los Angeles Mayoral Election, Los Angeles, LA Mayor

Notable Trades

Profitable serial event traders

Three wallets are buying Bass Yes together, including high-volume political/event traders with meaningful track records and one wallet up $323k lifetime.

  • Three wallets bought $6.3k of Yes in the same direction, a meaningful chunk of today’s activity.
  • One buyer is a high-volume trader up $323k lifetime across 1,026 resolved markets.
  • The market has moved up 5 points today, matching the direction of this clustered buying.

$6,268 on Yes

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $32,471
  2. 0x22e4...ef1c — Yes, $22,948 (57% win rate)
  3. 0x7804...7025 — No, $6,912 (70% win rate)
  4. 0xc4b2...9a9b — No, $4,822 (79% win rate)
  5. 0x7879...822a — Yes, $4,495
  6. 0xb8ee...9e81 — No, $3,130 (60% win rate)
  7. 0x102f...7a56 — Yes, $3,124 (67% win rate)
  8. 0x5235...c04a — No, $3,062
  9. 0xa2f7...4899 — Yes, $2,650 (76% win rate)
  10. 0x26ea...e315 — Yes, $2,644

Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

ResolvedLA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?$6,268 tracked1 signalRewards 20, 4.5, 50US ElectionPoliticsLAElectionsMayoral ElectionsLos Angeles Mayoral ElectionLos AngelesLA Mayor
Yes
76¢
No
25¢

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.

Price History — “Yes”
86¢
76¢
67¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

3h ago

$6,268 on Yes at 77¢

77¢→76¢↓1¢