Part of: Keisha Lance Bottoms runs behind Jon Ossoff by...? (First Round)
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms run 3 to 6 points behind Jon Ossoff?
This market asks whether Keisha Lance Bottoms’ vote share in Georgia’s 2026 governor’s race will be 3 to 6 percentage points below Jon Ossoff’s vote share in the Senate race. The market is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026; a live odds figure was not included in the supplied market metadata.
The 2026 Georgia general election is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. Keisha Lance Bottoms is the Democratic nominee for Governor of Georgia, and Jon Ossoff is the Democratic nominee for United States Senate in Georgia. This market will resolve based on how many percentage points Keisha Lance Bottoms’ vote share in the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election falls below Jon Ossoff’s vote share in the 2026 Georgia U.S. Senate election. If Bottoms’ vote share exceeds Ossoff’s, this market will resolve to “Runs ahead”. Each candidate’s vote share will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for that candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in that candidate’s respective race, including write-in votes, calculated from the certified vote totals without rounding. This market will consider only the first round of each election. For a race that includes a runoff, ranked-choice, or other multi-round process, the relevant vote share will be that of the first round — the initial count of votes before any runoff, reallocation, or elimination of candidates. If the reported difference falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the two vote shares are equal, this market will resolve to “0-3 points behind.” If either candidate withdraws or is otherwise removed from the general election ballot such that they receive no recorded votes, or if a candidate’s vote share cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that candidate will be considered to have received 0% of the vote. The resolution source for this market will be the certified results published by the Georgia Secretary of State; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,107.
Categories: Senate, georgia, midterm, Politics, Jon Ossoff, Margin of Victory, Keisha Lance Bottoms, Georgia Senate, Georgia Governor, Midterms
Notable Trades
Profitable bettor taking a large No position
A proven high-volume bettor with an 81% win rate and substantial lifetime profit placed a $2,107 No bet in a thin market.
- This bettor has won 81% of 1,289 resolved trades and is up about $349,000.
- The $2,107 No bet is large relative to recent market activity, where liquidity is limited.
- They entered No at 60¢; the market now shows No at 42¢, so the price has moved against the position.
$2,107 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
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