Part of: Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?

Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,893.

Categories: Crypto, Kelp

Notable Trades

10-wallet funded cluster

A profitable wallet from a 10-wallet linked cluster just put a market-moving $3.9k bet on No in a relatively thin exploit-resolution market, suggesting coordinated conviction.

  • This bettor wins 87% of their trades and is up $20.4k on resolved markets.
  • 10 linked wallets share the same funder, which points to coordinated conviction rather than a one-off bet.
  • The $3.9k buy was more than 5.5x this market's prior 24-hour volume, a strong signal in a thinner market.

$3,893 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0x58b8...e4d3 Outcome 22707778, $781
  2. 0x8454...331a Outcome 22707778, $463 (92% win rate)
  3. 0xe28d...ff9e Outcome 22707778, $411
  4. 0x1094...6aec Outcome 22707778, $214 (100% win rate)
  5. 0xbb00...2f38 Outcome 22707778, $207
  6. 0xf41f...19d2 Outcome 22707778, $174
  7. 0x0c1e...020a Outcome 22707778, $128
  8. 0x386f...db83 Outcome 22707778, $125
  9. 0x5027...40af Outcome 22707778, $100
  10. 0x0435...cf1d Outcome 22707778, $100

Related Theses

US-Iran peace deal unlikely

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

No Iran deal announced

Covers 4 related markets

Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?

ResolvedWill Kelp DAO socialize the losses?$3,893 tracked1 signalCryptoKelp

This market refers to the Kelp DAO bridge exploit on April 19, 2026, in which an attacker drained approximately $292M in rsETH via a LayerZero cross-chain messaging vulnerability, leaving rsETH holders on L2 networks with impaired backing. This market will resolve "Yes" if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Kelp DAO has announced or implemented a mechanism to socialize the losses that resulted from this exploit. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". “Socialize the losses” means rsETH holders on mainnet share and absorb part or all of the exploit losses, rather than L2 holders bearing them entirely. The primary resolution source will be official communications from Kelp DAO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?

45d ago

$3,893 on No at 76¢

Related Theses