Part of: Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?
This prediction market asks whether Kuwait will officially recognize Israel as a state by December 31, 2026. It resolves “Yes” only if there is formal government recognition, not merely an announcement of intent, and PolySpotter currently tracks $2,606 in smart money tied to this market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,606.
Categories: Syria, Yemen, Israel, Geopolitics, Middle East
Notable Trades
Profitable 78% bettor
Profitable high-volume bettor with a 78% resolved-bet win rate bought No on a thin geopolitical market, sizing far above recent activity.
- This bettor has won 78% of 905 resolved bets and is up about $89.5K lifetime.
- Their $2.6K No buy was over 12x the market’s recent 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.
- They entered at 90¢ and the market has already moved to about 94¢ No.
$2,606 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%
Top Holders
- 0x6139...6b7a — Yes, $3,352 (72% win rate)
- 0xcaab...24dd — No, $3,078 (79% win rate)
- 0xaf40...5662 — No, $398
- 0xf6c6...7d80 — No, $207
- 0x198a...3ca3 — No, $200 (83% win rate)
- 0x3bbc...a2b1 — Yes, $163
- 0xa667...ceb3 — No, $155 (90% win rate)
- 0x66a1...80d9 — Yes, $150
- 0x1ff3...eb39 — No, $144
- 0xe4ca...1383 — Yes, $132
