Part of: Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

This Polymarket prediction market asks whether Lamine Yamal will win the 2026 Ballon d’Or. It tracks $6,009 in smart money across one signal, with a recent alert showing sharp buying on “No”; the market is scheduled to resolve on October 31, 2026, based on official France Football information.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $6,009.

Categories: Soccer

Notable Trades

Serial sharp buying NO

Proven cross-market bettor with an 83% resolved win rate is taking a $6k NO position against Lamine Yamal winning the 2026 Ballon d'Or.

  • This bettor has won 83% of 321 resolved trades and is up $343k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 25 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
  • The $6k NO buy at 71¢ is a clear stance against Yamal despite the market’s strong weekly move toward YES.

$6,009 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $93,908
  2. 0x639d...4777 Yes, $11,904 (99% win rate)
  3. 0xe542...0a37 Yes, $11,651 (62% win rate)
  4. 0x6db9...4ab5 No, $9,827 (83% win rate)
  5. 0xcd61...0002 Yes, $9,246
  6. 0xefee...5c77 Yes, $9,181
  7. 0x80a0...5708 Yes, $8,169 (39% win rate)
  8. 0xa5e3...4d7e No, $7,977 (19% win rate)
  9. 0xd6b6...342b Yes, $7,831 (42% win rate)
  10. 0x5e30...9652 Yes, $5,785

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Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

103dBallon d'Or Winner 2026$6,009 tracked1 signalSoccer
Yes
29¢
No
71¢

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Price History — “No
98¢
81¢
64¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

8h ago

$6,009 on No at 71¢

71¢71¢

Related Theses