Part of: UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to semis
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,414.
Categories: Soccer, Sports, Champions League, UCL
Notable Trades
87% win-rate event specialist
An 87% win-rate serial cross-market bettor is extending the same Champions League thesis here, buying Liverpool No after a sharp weekly drop in Yes odds.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades across 408 bets and has traded 336 markets in 312 events.
- They have put $24.2k across 5 markets in this same event, suggesting a broad tournament view rather than a one-off punt.
- They bought No at 88¢ with Liverpool Yes down 24.5 points on the week, reinforcing a strong bearish read on Liverpool's semifinal chances.
$1,760 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
87% win-rate serial bettor
A serial cross-market bettor with an 87% win rate made a large, fresh buy on Liverpool No, adding notable conviction in a market that has already moved sharply against Yes.
- This wallet wins 87% of resolved bets across 406 markets and trades heavily across related events.
- They bought No at 87¢ for $6.3k after Liverpool’s Yes side fell 24 points over the last week.
- This single order was bigger than the market’s prior 24-hour volume, showing meaningful conviction rather than routine flow.
$6,272 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable new wallet buying dip
A very new wallet with early profits and repeated large bets opened fresh Liverpool exposure by effectively buying Yes at 16¢ in a moderately thin market after a sharp 1-week drop.
- This new wallet has already been flagged 3 times, shows $2.2k profit, and has 7 open positions despite being very recent
- The trade was effectively a buy of Liverpool Yes at 16¢ after the market fell 24% in a week
- A $1.7k bet is about one-third of 24h volume, which stands out more in this market than in a deep one
$1,679 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
87% hitter, event thesis
A high-volume cross-market bettor with an 87% hit rate is taking Liverpool No at 86¢ in a market that has fallen sharply over the week, suggesting a consistent event-level thesis despite the high price.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved markets across 402 bets, showing a strong history of picking winners
- They have put $13.1k across 4 related Champions League markets, so this looks like a broader tournament view rather than a one-off trade
- This $2.2k order was about 70% of the market's 24h volume, and Liverpool has already dropped 26.5 points over the past week
$2,159 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
5-wallet funded cluster
A newly active wallet with early profits is part of a 5-wallet funded cluster betting the same side, adding coordinated conviction behind Liverpool No at 86¢.
- Five wallets funded by the same source have been active on this thesis, which points to coordinated conviction rather than a one-off bet.
- This wallet is new but already shows early success: 5 wins in 7 resolved bets and $2.2k profit.
- The bet came at 86¢ on No after Liverpool's odds fell 25.5 points over the past week, backing the market's recent move.
$1,719 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%
Proven cross-market sharp
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 74% win rate and six-figure profit is taking Liverpool No at 63¢, making this a followable sharp-style position despite the modest alert score.
- This bettor has won 698 of 948 resolved markets and is up $113.7k lifetime
- They have traded 205 markets across 121 events, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt
- They bought No at 63¢, a fairly liquid price level that suggests Liverpool missing the semifinal is still the preferred side
$2,496 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
Serial sports bettor fading Liverpool
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 74% win rate put $4.4k into Liverpool No, taking nearly 69% of this market’s recent volume in a moderately thin book.
- This bettor has a 74% win rate across 943 resolved markets and is up about $109k lifetime
- The $4.4k buy accounted for 68.9% of this market’s recent volume, showing real conviction
- They bought No at 63¢ in a market with only about $46.5k of liquidity, suggesting they see Liverpool as overpriced
$4,410 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
Sharp serial sports bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 74% win rate is taking Liverpool No at 64¢, making this a followable sharp-style position despite only one signal.
- This bettor has won 74% of 943 resolved trades and is up about $110k lifetime
- They have traded 202 markets across 118 events, which points to a repeatable event-trading process rather than a one-off bet
- They bought No at 64¢ in a reasonably liquid market, signaling a measured view that Liverpool is overpriced at 36% to make the semifinal
$1,920 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0x5452...d448 — Outcome 10208258, $22,000
- 0xb295...4ee4 — Outcome 10208258, $7,898
- 0x9106...afcb — Outcome 10208258, $6,000 (71% win rate)
- 0xeffd...5a86 — Outcome 10208258, $3,000 (93% win rate)
- 0x62f5...453f — Outcome 10208258, $2,000
- 0xfa9a...099f — Outcome 10208258, $1,929
- 0xd178...6703 — Outcome 10208258, $1,500 (86% win rate)
- 0xaab3...f61f — Outcome 10208258, $1,146
- 0x51ae...0e7a — Outcome 10208258, $893
- 0x058f...68b6 — Outcome 10208258, $656
Related Theses
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Covers 6 related markets
