Part of: CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,246.

Categories: Midterms, US Election, Primaries, Elections, House Primary, Democratic Primary, Connecticut Primary, August 11 Primaries

Notable Trades

95% win-rate serial trader

A highly profitable serial trader with a 95% win rate and substantial historical edge is buying Yes in a relatively low-volume market.

This bettor wins 95% of 1,607 resolved positions and is up $771,901 lifetime.
The trader has a documented 35-point edge over average implied odds and actively follows 254 events.
A $1,246 Yes purchase in a $3,484 24-hour market adds meaningful conviction to a market already up 11% this week.

$1,246 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 16701513, $10,415
0x3872...bb1d — Outcome 16701513, $611
0xa5e3...4d7e — Outcome 16701513, $473 (19% win rate)
0x38e5...95e7 — Outcome 16701513, $309 (75% win rate)
0x0781...c4ff — Outcome 16701513, $263
0x815a...af37 — Outcome 16701513, $174
0x6f67...102c — Outcome 16701513, $73
0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 16701513, $72
0xe7bb...64de — Outcome 16701513, $66
0xf6f6...0e74 — Outcome 16701513, $50

Related Theses

Zhu Kangjie beats Rodrigo Vera

Covers 1 related market

Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?

ResolvedCT-01 Democratic Primary Winner$1,246 tracked1 signalMidtermsUS ElectionPrimariesElectionsHouse PrimaryDemocratic PrimaryConnecticut PrimaryAugust 11 Primaries

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Price History — “Yes”

87¢

78¢

70¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction