Will Madison Air’s market cap be greater than $13.5B at market close on IPO day?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,873.

Categories: IPO, Business, Tech, Finance, IPOs, Rewards 300 4.5 50

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor in thin market

A high-win-rate bettor made a market-moving buy in a thin IPO market, suggesting conviction despite the modest composite score.

  • This bettor wins 86% of their trades across 345 resolved bets
  • They bought nearly $2.9k of Yes, equal to 1566% of the market’s prior 24h volume
  • The market is still fairly balanced at 52¢, so they are backing a meaningful edge rather than chasing an extreme price

$2,873 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 68956374, $2,457
  2. 0x0061...8fd6 Outcome 68956374, $200
  3. 0x3d5a...4c29 Outcome 68956374, $134
  4. 0x3329...43a6 Outcome 68956374, $100
  5. 0x51f2...38ef Outcome 68956374, $99
  6. 0xf0b0...8cab Outcome 68956374, $60
  7. 0x0e7f...8605 Outcome 68956374, $57
  8. 0xeab7...b389 Outcome 68956374, $50
  9. 0xcaa8...fd34 Outcome 68956374, $47
  10. 0x86eb...5864 Outcome 68956374, $40

Will Madison Air’s market cap be greater than $13.5B at market close on IPO day?

Resolved$2,873 tracked1 signalIPOBusinessTechFinanceIPOsRewards 300 4.5 50

This market will resolve based on Madison Air’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading. In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.

Notable Trades

Will Madison Air’s market cap be greater than $13.5B at market close on IPO day?

3d ago

$2,873 on Yes at 52¢