One wallet in this cluster is 22 for 22 on resolved bets and up $1.4k, which makes this coordinated No bet more worth tracking. All 3 wallets bet against Manchester United together for $5.1k while the market was pricing a 72% win chance. They sold Yes at 60-68¢, which converts to buying No at 40-32¢ — well below the current 28¢ No price.

This 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 25 large-bet alerts, with over $119k flagged in total They just bought No at 44¢ in a market that has moved 29 points in a day, showing fresh conviction against Manchester United This is a new position-sized bet of nearly $5k, large enough to matter even in a liquid sports market

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $32,207.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL

Notable Trades

22-0 bettor fading surge

A small but notable alert: a bettor with a perfect 22-for-22 record sold Yes at 68¢, which translates to buying No at 32¢, just as this market saw a sharp volume and price surge.

This bettor has won 22 of 22 resolved trades and is up $1.4k on just $4.0k invested.
They sold Yes at 68¢, which is equivalent to buying No at 32¢ while the market later moved to 75¢ Yes.
Market volume jumped 14.5x and price is up 46.5 points in a day, so this trade stands out as a sharp fade of fast momentum.

$1,595 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

3-wallet sharp fade

Three wallets piled into No as Manchester United’s win odds were surging, and one of them has a flawless 22-for-22 record, making this coordinated fade worth surfacing despite mixed wallet quality.

One wallet in this cluster is 22 for 22 on resolved bets and up $1.4k, which makes this coordinated No bet more worth tracking.
All 3 wallets bet against Manchester United together for $5.1k while the market was pricing a 72% win chance.
They sold Yes at 60-68¢, which converts to buying No at 40-32¢ — well below the current 28¢ No price.

$5,116 on No

New whale betting No

A 2-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets totaling over $119k and just bought No at 44¢ into a fast-moving, high-volume Manchester United market, suggesting sustained conviction despite no track record yet.

This 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 25 large-bet alerts, with over $119k flagged in total
They just bought No at 44¢ in a market that has moved 29 points in a day, showing fresh conviction against Manchester United
This is a new position-sized bet of nearly $5k, large enough to matter even in a liquid sports market

$4,916 on No | Wallet win rate: 0%

Sharp cluster near expiry

A 5-wallet cluster piled into Manchester United Yes within minutes of resolution, led by one clearly sharp bettor with an 80% win rate and $606k profit.

One wallet in this group wins 80% of 1,014 resolved bets and is up $606k lifetime
Five wallets put $10.6k on Manchester United within the last 15 minutes before resolution
They bought at 29-30¢, a low price that suggests they saw the live odds as mispriced

$10,649 on Yes

Sharp bettor buys underdog

A proven sharp bettor with an 80% win rate and $606k profit is buying Manchester United Yes at 29¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest size.

This bettor wins 80% of their trades over 1,014 settled bets and is up $606k lifetime
They bought Manchester United to win at 29¢, a low price that offers strong upside if their edge is real
This is a fresh signal from a proven wallet, even though the bet size is modest for this market

$1,468 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%

85% win-rate sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 85% win rate is buying No at 72¢ on a liquid match market, making this a credible follow despite the single trade.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $663k lifetime
They have traded 171 markets across 153 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
Bought No at 72¢ in a deep market, signaling a strong view that Manchester United is overpriced at 28¢ to win

$3,570 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%

Sharp bettor in 3-wallet cluster

A proven sharp wallet with an 80% win rate and $606k profit is part of a 3-wallet one-sided buy cluster, making this coordinated Manchester United Yes bet worth watching despite the modest size.

One wallet in this group wins 80% of 1,014 resolved bets and is up $606k lifetime
Three wallets all bought Manchester United Yes within minutes at 29-30¢
The market is deep and liquid, so this looks more like informed agreement than a random thin-market punt

$4,894 on Yes

Top Holders

0xd9c4...6f95 — Outcome 41764946, $143,459 (45% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 41764946, $28,596 (54% win rate)
0x1350...0841 — Outcome 41764946, $23,074 (80% win rate)
0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 41764946, $17,123 (67% win rate)
0xce9d...f402 — Outcome 41764946, $11,173 (0% win rate)
0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 41764946, $9,618 (68% win rate)
0x37c1...c53a — Outcome 10511604, $8,682 (67% win rate)
0xf142...57e7 — Outcome 41764946, $6,765
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 41764946, $5,242
0xd178...6703 — Outcome 41764946, $4,958 (85% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?

Resolved$32,207 tracked7 signalsSportsGamesSoccerPremier LeagueEPL

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 18, 2026 If Manchester United FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.