Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran announcement timing markets are mispriced”

This trader is expressing a view that US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?, US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?, US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?, and 2 more are correlated outcomes, committing $10,967 to this thesis across 5 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0xc7e5382% win rate

Total

$10,967

Markets

5

Positions

  1. 1US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
    $1,001 @ 17¢
  2. 2US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
    $3,562 @ 33¢
  3. 3US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?
    $1,180 @ 59¢
  4. 4US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
    $3,200 @ 55¢
  5. 5US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?
    $2,024 @ 24¢
Iran announcement timing markets are mispriced — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter