Part of: UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,445.

Categories: Sports, Games, UFC, UFC 329

Notable Trades

92% winner nailed KO market

A highly profitable 92% lifetime bettor added a $6.1k Yes position at 55¢ before the market moved to 100¢.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $721k lifetime.
  • They bought Yes at 55¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
  • This is part of a larger Yes position, with $12.6k invested at the same average entry.

$6,093 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp cluster buying Yes

Five wallets, including a highly profitable large bettor, added $71k of one-sided Yes exposure during a 132x volume spike near fight resolution.

  • Five wallets are all buying Yes, adding $71k to an already crowded same-way position.
  • The largest buyer has won all 7 resolved bets and is up about $1.03M lifetime.
  • Market volume spiked 132x above normal, suggesting a rush of pre-fight conviction.

$10,836 on Yes

92% winner adding No

Sharp combat-sports-style bettor with a 92% resolved win rate is adding to an existing No position at 43¢ on Holloway by KO/TKO.

  • This bettor has won 92% of resolved bets and is up $112.8K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 31 events, with a strong record on similar event-linked markets.
  • They added $4.3K to an existing No position, now totaling about $9.9K at a 43¢ average entry.

$4,252 on No | Wallet win rate: 51%

92% winner in NO cluster

A proven 92% winner is adding to a No position alongside one-sided flow and a 33x pre-event volume spike, making this a credible directional UFC prop signal.

  • A bettor who wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $112.8K is adding to No at 43¢.
  • Three wallets moved $12.3K the same way, with market volume running 33x above its historical pace.
  • Entry at 43¢ implies roughly 2.3x upside if Holloway does not win by KO or TKO.

$12,264 on No

Top Holders

  1. 0xecb1...5da3 Outcome 65800099, $118,000 (52% win rate)
  2. 0xd34b...0004 Outcome 65800099, $13,308 (95% win rate)
  3. 0x44c1...ebc1 Outcome 65800099, $9,949 (59% win rate)
  4. 0x54ea...f74a Outcome 65800099, $7,345 (57% win rate)
  5. 0xa3af...b7a6 Outcome 65800099, $2,940
  6. 0x5452...d448 Outcome 65800099, $2,569 (78% win rate)
  7. 0xdd5e...9040 Outcome 65800099, $999 (79% win rate)
  8. 0xedf0...a1d3 Outcome 65800099, $649 (89% win rate)
  9. 0x3d8c...db7b Outcome 65800099, $471
  10. 0x3430...65cd Outcome 65800099, $465

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Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?

ResolvedUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$33,445 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesUFCUFC 329

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Holloway defeats Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?

6d ago

$6,093 on Yes at 55¢

Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?

6d ago

$10,836 on Yes at 54¢

Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?

6d ago

$4,252 on No at 43¢

Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?

6d ago

$12,264 on No at 43¢

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