Part of: 2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 versus the data points available for all other Mays on record. Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,634.
Categories: Global Temp, Weather, Science
Notable Trades
Profitable thin-market bettor
A profitable wallet made a market-moving Yes bet that was over 7x the market’s 24h volume in a very thin climate market.
- This wallet is up $49k lifetime across 166 resolved bets.
- The $2.6k Yes buy was over 7x the market’s 24h volume in a very thin order book.
- Yes has already moved from 75¢ entry to 82¢, with the market up 52 points over the past week.
$2,634 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
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