Part of: World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals

Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,236.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, world cup, FIFA World Cup, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Team Props, Tournament Futures

Notable Trades

80% winner fading Mexico

Sharp profitable bettor with an 80% record and strong edge is buying nearly $4k of No on Mexico reaching the semifinals.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $17,046 lifetime.
  • They put $3,978 on No at 80¢, betting Mexico does not reach the semifinals.
  • Their past wins came at much tougher average odds, suggesting a real track record rather than just favorites.

$3,978 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

92% winner buying Yes

Sharp wallet with a 92% resolved-bet win record bought Mexico Yes despite only a modest alert score.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $4.3K lifetime.
  • They bought Mexico Yes at 29¢ while the market has jumped 17 points in the last day.
  • Entry at 29¢ implies a strong upside view versus current 30% odds.

$1,258 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0x52a8...c5ed Outcome 79662302, $20,479
  2. 0xd914...0d9a Outcome 79662302, $19,980 (80% win rate)
  3. 0x5fd8...ce32 Outcome 79662302, $10,735 (89% win rate)
  4. 0x5a21...9318 Outcome 79662302, $4,592 (58% win rate)
  5. 0x4515...e6e4 Outcome 79662302, $4,263
  6. 0xb3f6...f335 Outcome 79662302, $1,938
  7. 0xa6e7...e302 Outcome 79662302, $1,884
  8. 0x2888...0fe4 Outcome 79662302, $1,408
  9. 0x3084...5ec5 Outcome 79662302, $1,153
  10. 0xc0bd...5528 Outcome 79662302, $1,152

Related Theses

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Covers 2 related markets

Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

ResolvedWorld Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals$5,236 tracked2 signalsSportsSoccerworld cupFIFA World Cup2026 FIFA World CupTeam PropsTournament Futures

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

16d ago

$3,978 on No at 80¢

Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

17d ago

$1,258 on Yes at 29¢

Related Theses