Part of: World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,722.
Categories: Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup, world cup, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Team Props, Tournament Futures
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market trader
Profitable serial cross-market bettor is cutting Yes exposure on Morocco amid broader same-event positioning, though this looks more like a position exit than a fresh No entry.
- This bettor has won 67% of 135 resolved trades and is up $47K lifetime.
- They have traded 5 related World Cup markets for $17K, suggesting a broader tournament thesis.
- This was a sell of an existing Yes position, so the No signal is weaker than a fresh buy.
$1,895 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%
99% win-rate sharp
A highly profitable sharp wallet with a 67/68 resolved record bought Morocco No at 52%, making this a copy-worthy sharp-bettor signal despite modest size.
- This bettor has won 67 of 68 resolved positions and is up about $192k lifetime.
- They bought No at 52¢, while the market now prices No around 55¢.
- Their long-term record suggests the wallet may have a real edge even on a smaller $1.4k entry.
$1,449 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%
Profitable wallet in thin market
Profitable wallet bought No with a bet over 6x the market's recent 24h volume on a thin, quiet World Cup futures market.
- This bettor is up $84k lifetime across 32 resolved bets.
- Their $1.4k No buy was about 6x the market’s recent 24h volume.
- Entry at 59¢ suggests conviction that Morocco misses the Round of 16.
$1,379 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%
New wallet, thin-market Yes bet
A 3-day-old wallet put $2,000 on Yes in a very quiet Morocco World Cup advancement market, nearly 9x the market’s 24h volume.
- A 3-day-old wallet made a fresh $2,000 Yes bet in a market with only $228 traded in the past day.
- The bet was nearly 9x the market’s 24h volume, suggesting unusually strong conviction for this quiet market.
- Entry at 45¢ implies the bettor sees Morocco’s Round of 16 chances as meaningfully underpriced.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x4aef...9337 — Outcome 48738505, $11,480 (71% win rate)
- 0xe8c2...3048 — Outcome 48738505, $2,786 (91% win rate)
- 0x5213...6a35 — Outcome 48738505, $1,700 (74% win rate)
- 0xeaac...d71d — Outcome 48738505, $1,064 (82% win rate)
- 0x373a...f4c1 — Outcome 48738505, $966 (61% win rate)
- 0xc7d0...1f8a — Outcome 48738505, $879
- 0x99a7...fc82 — Outcome 48738505, $870 (63% win rate)
- 0x5a0d...40ca — Outcome 48738505, $783 (91% win rate)
- 0xdb97...eee8 — Outcome 48738505, $700 (78% win rate)
- 0x22d3...5e3a — Outcome 48738505, $604 (53% win rate)
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