Part of: IR Iran vs. New Zealand
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
32 smart money signals detected, totaling $379,945.
Categories: Games, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Soccer
Notable Trades
Proven sports sharp
Sharp profitable sports bettor with a 77% long-term win rate and $1.39M lifetime profit bought New Zealand Yes at 4%.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $1.39M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 278 events with over $2.1M wagered.
- Entry at 4¢ on a longshot has already moved to 6¢, suggesting early market validation.
$1,247 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
12-wallet No push
High-scoring coordinated No flow with 12 wallets, a major volume spike, and a profitable serial cross-market bettor participating.
- 12 wallets are all buying No, totaling $39.3K on the same side.
- This market saw a 28x volume spike and a fast price move during the betting burst.
- The featured bettor is a heavy serial trader across 99 events and is up $227.7K lifetime.
$1,179 on No | Wallet win rate: 57%
Million-profit serial trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought No at 86¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike and rapid price movement.
- This bettor has made $1.13M lifetime profit across more than 11,000 resolved trades.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 136 events with $672K tracked in this pattern.
- The market saw a 41.6x volume spike and a sharp move just before this No buy at 86¢.
$1,019 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
Sharp trader in Yes cluster
A profitable 75% win-rate serial cross-market bettor bought Yes alongside 13 same-side wallets, though the position has moved sharply against them since entry.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $57.5K lifetime.
- 13 wallets bought the same Yes side, totaling $39.5K.
- The trade is underwater after Yes fell from 58¢ to 16¢, making this a contrarian follow.
$5,057 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
Sharp bettor in Yes cluster
Sharp 88% lifetime winner joined a broader 13-wallet Yes flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $162,860 lifetime.
- 13 wallets bought the same side, totaling $39,474 on Yes.
- Caution: their 58¢ entry has moved down to about 16¢, so the market is currently against this trade.
$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Sharp exits with Yes cluster
A proven winning wallet is exiting No while 13 wallets push the same Yes direction amid a major volume spike, though this specific trade appears to be profit-taking rather than a fresh position.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $26k lifetime.
- 13 wallets moved the same way on Yes, totaling about $39k in the scan window.
- This trade closed a prior No position, so the broader Yes flow is the stronger signal.
$2,982 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%
12-wallet NO surge
Strong coordinated NO flow: a profitable high-volume sports trader bought at 43¢ alongside 12 wallets, driving a major repricing to 82¢.
- A profitable serial bettor is backing No, with 868 resolved bets and $375k in lifetime profit.
- 12 wallets bought the same side for $39k, creating a strong one-way move.
- The entry at 43¢ has already moved to 82¢, showing the market quickly agreed with this side.
$3,885 on No | Wallet win rate: 59%
12-wallet No momentum
High composite alert driven by coordinated No buying from 12 wallets, a large pre-event volume spike, and rapid price movement despite this wallet’s weak long-term P&L.
- 12 wallets bought the same side, putting $39k behind No in the scan window.
- Volume spiked 28x above normal while the market moved sharply within minutes.
- This wallet flipped away from a prior Yes position and bought No at 80¢, now around 82¢.
$1,888 on No | Wallet win rate: 57%
12-wallet No push
High-scoring coordinated No flow with 12 wallets, a major volume spike, and a profitable serial cross-market bettor participating.
- 12 wallets are all buying No, totaling $39.3K on the same side.
- This market saw a 28x volume spike and a fast price move during the betting burst.
- The featured bettor is a heavy serial trader across 99 events and is up $227.7K lifetime.
$2,430 on No | Wallet win rate: 57%
90% winner joins No cluster
High-score No cluster with $48k of aligned flow, a proven 90% bettor, and a sharp price move against New Zealand.
- A bettor who wins 90% of resolved bets and is up $91k joined the No side.
- 8 wallets put $48k behind the same No outcome as New Zealand drifted to 18%.
- Market activity is surging, with volume over 20x normal and a large price move confirming the flow.
$48,406 on No
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 87730355, $221,777
- 0xdd88...dadb — Outcome 55137687, $70,000 (73% win rate)
- 0x44c5...8d45 — Outcome 55137687, $55,006 (78% win rate)
- 0x9caf...94dc — Outcome 55137687, $21,759 (62% win rate)
- 0x9c05...9e9f — Outcome 55137687, $21,250 (18% win rate)
- 0x4924...f328 — Outcome 55137687, $16,417 (37% win rate)
- 0x14b9...f378 — Outcome 55137687, $12,984 (59% win rate)
- 0xb7f1...87b3 — Outcome 55137687, $12,714 (100% win rate)
- 0xe1a2...14b8 — Outcome 55137687, $11,000 (71% win rate)
- 0x5370...4de5 — Outcome 55137687, $10,500
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