Part of: World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This prediction market asks whether Norway will advance to the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. It resolves “Yes” if Norway reaches the Round of 32 and “No” if they are mathematically eliminated, with resolution expected by June 28, 2026 unless tournament timing rules apply. PolySpotter is tracking $3,613 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including a recent alert for a new wallet attacking a thin market.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,613.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer

Notable Trades

New wallet attacking thin market

A 23-day-old repeat large bettor bought $3.6k of Norway Yes on an extremely quiet market, moving in at prices below current odds despite limited wallet history.

  • A 23-day-old wallet put $3.6k on Yes, over 10x this market’s 24h volume.
  • The bettor has now made $5.7k of flagged World Cup positions across 3 related markets.
  • One fill came at 74¢ and the market is already around 82¢, suggesting early price impact.

$3,613 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%

Top Holders

  1. 0x810d...0d24 — Yes, $1,900 (50% win rate)
  2. 0xcf07...c770 — No, $1,566 (30% win rate)
  3. 0x15a6...bf5d — No, $1,293 (46% win rate)
  4. 0xa641...0866 — Yes, $714
  5. 0x38e5...95e7 — Yes, $400 (79% win rate)
  6. 0x05f0...2469 — Yes, $335
  7. 0x373a...f4c1 — No, $282 (56% win rate)
  8. 0x0860...81c7 — No, $245
  9. 0xe094...fe93 — No, $245
  10. 0xef62...bcc2 — No, $214

Related Theses

Norway Scotland and Austria advance

Covers 3 related markets

Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

23dWorld Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages$3,613 tracked1 signalFIFA World CupSports2026 FIFA World CupSoccer
Yes
83¢
No
18¢

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Yes”
85¢
83¢
80¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

3h ago

$3,613 on Yes at 77¢

77¢→83¢↑6¢

Related Theses

Norway Scotland and Austria advance
Wallet_0x810d6 trades 3 related markets
Will Norway advance to the kno…Will Scotland advance to the k…Will Austria advance to the kn…