Part of: World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,077.

Categories: 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Team Props, Tournament Futures

Notable Trades

Proven sharp fading Norway

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 81% resolved win rate is making a $23k No bet against Norway reaching the World Cup final after Yes odds spiked.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $4.7M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 479 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • The $23k No entry at 82¢ fades a sharp 1-day Yes move, implying they think Norway’s final odds are overhyped.

$1,077 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

  1. 0xaf4d...77c6 Outcome 23063155, $20,000 (94% win rate)
  2. 0x4b40...2f6a Outcome 23063155, $19,388 (100% win rate)
  3. 0xee67...67a6 Outcome 23063155, $7,200
  4. 0x5a21...9318 Outcome 23063155, $5,367 (60% win rate)
  5. 0x8a06...2e5e Outcome 23063155, $4,672
  6. 0x403c...72a1 Outcome 23063155, $4,000 (68% win rate)
  7. 0xa962...8978 Outcome 23063155, $3,833
  8. 0x129d...7d2d Outcome 23063155, $3,727 (57% win rate)
  9. 0xb838...29be Outcome 23063155, $2,489
  10. 0x426f...bdad Outcome 23063155, $2,469

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

ResolvedWorld Cup: Nation to Reach Final$1,077 tracked1 signal2026 FIFA World CupSoccerFIFA World CupSportsTeam PropsTournament Futures

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

29d ago

$1,077 on No at 82¢

Related Theses