Netherlands World Cup Final Odds | Prediction Market

Markets (7)

Top trades across all markets

Coordinated Argentina Yes flow
Three-wallet one-sided flow is adding to a broader Argentina World Cup thesis, with linked-wallet activity and recent price momentum supporting the Yes side despite mixed wallet track records.
$7,063Score: 8.2
93% winner buying NO
Elite sharp wallet with a 93% resolved win rate and $720k lifetime profit bought Argentina No at 67¢, supported by a long history of successful cross-market trading.
$3,200Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 8.0
83% winner buying YES
Sharp, highly profitable serial cross-market trader is effectively buying England to reach the 2026 World Cup final at 22¢.
$2,581Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 8.0
80% winner buying Yes
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 80% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought France Yes at 35¢, ahead of a recent move to 38¢.
$8,731Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 8.0
80% winner buying Yes
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 80% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought France Yes at 35¢, ahead of a recent move to 38¢.
$4,000Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 8.0
Coordinated World Cup surge
Four wallets put $21.5k into England Yes during a 136x volume spike, driving the price from about 55¢ to 75¢ with support from a serial cross-market bettor.
$21,505Score: 6.8
Sharp cross-market bettor
Sharp profitable wallet with an 82% resolved-bet win rate is making a coordinated cross-market World Cup thesis by buying France No despite the price moving against them.
$7,811Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 6.3
Sharp World Cup cross-market bettor
Sharp profitable wallet with an 85% resolved win rate is taking a No position as part of a broader 5-market World Cup thesis.
$1,220Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 6.0
85% winner fading Spain
Sharp profitable wallet with an 85% resolved-bet win rate is taking a $3.2k No position while also trading across five related World Cup markets.
$3,185Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 6.0
85% winner fading Spain
Sharp profitable wallet with an 85% resolved-bet win rate is taking a $3.2k No position while also trading across five related World Cup markets.
$1,604Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 6.0

Top wallets in this event

0x6db983…4ab5$16,965 · 5 markets · 6 alerts · 83% wins
0x18b84c…c368$14,531 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 83% wins
0x5fd86d…ce32$5,122 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 89% wins
0xd614b8…0fc0$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
0x7f9e2d…3a0e$3,918 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 91% wins
0x479b2c…cdb1$3,530 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 82% wins
0xc68482…2228$3,355 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 78% wins
0x988d8d…9899$3,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
0xa97482…ef79$2,581 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
0xf245f5…e750$2,502 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins

More on this event

Cross-market thesis

Netherlands miss World Cup final

FAQs

What are the Netherlands odds to reach the 2026 World Cup final?

The market price reflects the crowd-implied probability that the Netherlands reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. PolySpotter tracks the live Polymarket odds along with smart-money activity around that outcome.

What is this Netherlands World Cup prediction market betting on?

This event is focused on whether the Netherlands reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. A Yes position wins if the Netherlands makes the final; it resolves No if they are eliminated or can no longer mathematically reach it.

Is smart money betting on the Netherlands to reach the final?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,104 in smart-money activity across this event, including a recent alert tied to a serial sports market grinder. That can help users see whether experienced sports bettors are taking interest in the market.

When does the Netherlands World Cup final market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve by July 20, 2026. It can resolve earlier to No if the Netherlands is eliminated or it becomes impossible for them to reach the final.