This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $42,399 lifetime. They are a serial cross-market trader with $5.9M deployed across 307 markets. The market has moved strongly toward No, with Yes down about 24 points in the last day.

Part of: World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,902.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Team Props, Tournament Futures

Notable Trades

85% winner buying NO

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 85% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought No on Paraguay advancing, aligned with a sharp recent price move against Yes.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $42,399 lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $5.9M deployed across 307 markets.
The market has moved strongly toward No, with Yes down about 24 points in the last day.

$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%

Quiet-market No buyer

A single bettor bought $1.9k of No on a quiet Paraguay World Cup market, sizing nearly 6x the detected 24h volume despite only a limited wallet track record.

This bettor put $1.9k on No in a market that had only about $321 of detected 24h volume.
The trade was nearly 6x recent volume, suggesting strong conviction on a quiet World Cup market.
Entry at 36¢ implies they see Paraguay missing the knockout stage as underpriced.

$1,902 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

0xc536...f086 — Outcome 94998688, $16,031 (82% win rate)
0x15cd...a7b1 — Outcome 94998688, $14,172
0xbb1c...f754 — Outcome 94998688, $7,968
0x51fd...4272 — Outcome 94998688, $3,441
0xae57...ddf0 — Outcome 94998688, $3,061
0x0c99...87cf — Outcome 94998688, $2,681
0x66e7...8bcd — Outcome 94998688, $663
0x3e88...0c70 — Outcome 94998688, $649
0xec9f...f47b — Outcome 94998688, $555
0xbf82...97f3 — Outcome 94998688, $526

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Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

ResolvedWorld Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages$3,902 tracked2 signalsFIFA World CupSports2026 FIFA World CupSoccerTeam PropsTournament Futures

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.