Part of: PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk
Will PSV win on 2026-09-10?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $54,708.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, UCL, UCL Matchday
Notable Trades
93% winner scaling into No
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial edge is adding to a large No position amid an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor has won 145 of 156 trades, with $1.18M in reported profit and a 46% edge over implied odds.
- They are adding to an existing $26,974 No position, bringing fresh conviction to a $2,695 trade at 35¢.
- The market saw a 160x historical volume spike, while No has risen from the 35¢ entry to about 38¢.
$2,695 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%
Three-wallet Yes conviction cluster
A $28,000 three-wallet Yes cluster coincided with a 279x volume spike, including a highly profitable bettor, making this a notable directional signal despite one participant adding to a losing position.
- Three wallets put $28,009 into Yes as market activity surged to 279 times its historical average.
- One participating bettor wins 70% of 71,123 resolved trades and is up $6.7 million lifetime.
- The cluster entered around 65–66¢ while Yes currently trades near 66¢, implying roughly 1.5× upside if PSV wins.
$17,527 on Yes
Profitable bettor scales into No
A profitable serial cross-market trader added $12.6K to an existing No position just 10 minutes before resolution during a 107.6x volume spike.
- This bettor has won 65% of 667 resolved trades and is up $1.08 million.
- They added $12,605 to an existing No position shortly before the scheduled resolution, bringing their exposure to roughly $74,600.
- Trading activity was 107.6 times the historical average, suggesting unusually strong late positioning around the match.
$12,605 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%
91% winner scaling into PSV Yes
A proven sharp bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $21,880 to an existing PSV Yes position at 66¢.
- This bettor has won 243 of 266 trades, earning $92,838 while buying at an average 54¢.
- They added $21,880 to an existing Yes position at 66¢, signaling continued conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
- The trade represented over 250% of the reported 24-hour volume, despite the market having a tight 1¢ spread.
$21,880 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0xcacb...a3d0 — Outcome 93961398, $33,152 (91% win rate)
- 0xe987...f0e1 — Outcome 93961398, $20,000 (97% win rate)
- 0x5451...616c — Outcome 93961398, $14,694 (95% win rate)
- 0x7353...7ced — Outcome 93961398, $13,239
- 0x69dd...1964 — Outcome 93961398, $6,907 (57% win rate)
- 0xeb73...53b0 — Outcome 93961398, $5,758 (52% win rate)
- 0x6876...8dc9 — Outcome 93961398, $4,923 (92% win rate)
- 0x882c...0afd — Outcome 93961398, $3,520
- 0x2567...fc9d — Outcome 93961398, $3,260 (94% win rate)
- 0x78e3...2bca — Outcome 93961398, $3,192 (68% win rate)
Related Theses
Spirit wins series; Vision Game 3
Covers 3 related markets
