Part of: Which party will win white voters in the midterms?

Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?

This Polymarket market asks whether Republicans will receive the greatest share of white voters in the 2026 U.S. midterm elections. It resolves using CNN’s national House exit polling, viewed at 12:00 p.m. ET on November 6, 2026; current odds were not included in the provided market data.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white voters in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $7,095.

Categories: Polling, Midterms, Politics

Notable Trades

Five-wallet cluster adds to Yes

A five-wallet shared-funder cluster and a highly active bettor are adding to an existing Yes position, though the bettor’s win rate is less compelling given their high average winning price.

  • Five wallets sharing a funder are aligned on this market, with $7,095 in the detected cluster.
  • The bettor added $7,095 to an existing Yes position after already investing $8,646.
  • This wallet has 445 resolved bets and a 94% win rate, though its average winning price is a high 93¢.

$7,095 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

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Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?

Which party will win white voters in the midterms?$7,095 tracked1 signalPollingMidtermsPolitics
Yes
86¢
No
14¢

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white voters in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Price History — “Yes”
96¢
90¢
84¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?

2026-10-20 16:20 UTC

$7,095 on Yes at 82¢

82¢→86¢↑4¢

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