Part of: Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Romania will finish in the top 5 highest-scoring countries at Eurovision 2026. It is scheduled to resolve around the Eurovision 2026 result on May 16, 2026, or earlier to No if Romania can no longer finish top 5. PolySpotter currently tracks $2,365 in smart money activity on this market, with 1 smart money signal and a recent quiet-market No conviction alert.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,365.

Categories: Culture, Music, Awards, Eurovision

Notable Trades

Quiet-market No conviction

A profitable high-volume wallet bought No with a bet more than 6x recent market volume on a quiet Eurovision market.

  • This high-volume bettor is up $158k lifetime across nearly $15M invested.
  • The $2.4k No buy was over 6x the market’s recent 24h volume.
  • Entry at 65¢ goes against a week of Yes momentum, suggesting a deliberate contrarian view.

$2,365 on No | Wallet win rate: 50%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe72b...b0a0 No, $3,664 (50% win rate)
  2. 0x94c4...43ca Yes, $2,360 (94% win rate)
  3. 0xb886...81b3 Yes, $2,250 (63% win rate)
  4. 0xe3f2...e1c1 Yes, $2,002
  5. 0x41f0...3eeb No, $1,432
  6. 0xc211...55e7 Yes, $820
  7. 0x7131...b3a6 No, $802
  8. 0xcb14...5358 No, $657
  9. 0xefac...c9a1 No, $577 (56% win rate)
  10. 0xae31...7fa1 No, $442 (27% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

4dEurovision 2026: Top 5$2,365 tracked1 signalCultureMusicAwardsEurovision
Yes
36¢
No
64¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Price History — “No
76¢
69¢
61¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

2h ago

$2,365 on No at 65¢

65¢64¢1¢

Related Theses