Part of: Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,692.

Categories: putin, Russia, Ukraine, zelensky, zelenskyy, Geopolitics

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor adding to large No position

A profitable bettor with 129 resolved positions is adding to a substantial No position and has related trades across three event markets.

  • This bettor is up $30,012 across 129 resolved bets and is adding to an existing $31,256 No position.
  • The new $1,000 entry at 41¢ comes as the market has moved sharply toward Yes.
  • The wallet has positioned across three related markets, totaling $3,295 in tracked trades.

$1,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable bettor adding to No

A profitable bettor with 123 resolved positions is adding to an existing No position while expressing the same event thesis across three markets.

  • This bettor has won 80% of 123 resolved bets and is up $36,905 overall.
  • They added $1,312 to No at 69¢, building on an existing $6,206 position.
  • The wallet has positioned across three related markets, totaling $3,607.

$4,600 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable bettor adding to No

A profitable bettor with 123 resolved positions is adding to an existing No position while expressing the same event thesis across three markets.

  • This bettor has won 80% of 123 resolved bets and is up $36,905 overall.
  • They added $1,312 to No at 69¢, building on an existing $6,206 position.
  • The wallet has positioned across three related markets, totaling $3,607.

$1,312 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable serial trader buys Yes

A proven, highly active trader with a strong profitable record made a fresh $2,780 Yes bet despite recent price declines.

  • This bettor has won 75% of 130 resolved bets and is up $214,015 lifetime.
  • They placed a fresh $2,780 Yes bet at 58¢ while the market had fallen 10.5% over the past week.

$2,780 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%

Profitable serial trader adding to Yes

A consistently profitable trader with a 70% win rate added $2,000 to an existing Yes position in a relatively quiet market.

  • This trader has won 70% of 126 resolved bets and is up about $19,800 overall.
  • They added $2,000 to an existing Yes position, a sizable bet relative to the market’s recent trading volume.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%

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Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?$11,692 tracked5 signalsputinRussiaUkrainezelenskyzelenskyyGeopolitics
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Notable Trades

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?

2026-10-22 18:53 UTC

$1,000 on No at 41¢

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?

2026-10-15 17:09 UTC

$4,600 on No at 69¢

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?

2026-10-14 17:14 UTC

$1,312 on No at 69¢

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?

2026-10-06 09:06 UTC

$2,780 on Yes at 58¢

58¢→100¢↑42¢

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?

2026-10-02 02:24 UTC

$2,000 on Yes at 69¢

69¢→100¢↑31¢

Related Theses