Part of: Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by...?
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,283.
Categories: Geopolitics, Ukraine, Ukraine Map
Notable Trades
Profitable sharp buying dip
A profitable 82% winner bought Yes on a thin geopolitics market, though the price has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $15.6K lifetime.
- They put $2.3K into a thin market with only $2.7K liquidity, showing real conviction.
- The market has fallen to 16% after their 61% entry, so the key signal is the wallet’s track record rather than recent momentum.
$2,283 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
Perfect-record bettor buys NO
A perfect-record profitable wallet made a $5k NO bet that was large relative to this thin geopolitical market.
- This bettor is 13-for-13 on resolved trades and is up $13k lifetime.
- The $5k bet was 74% of the market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a thin book.
- They bought No at 89¢ and it has already moved to 92¢.
$5,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xbfba...7567 — Outcome 30611113, $5,627 (100% win rate)
- 0x65b5...bbfb — Outcome 30611113, $2,365
- 0xc92c...6f15 — Outcome 30611113, $1,977
- 0x8503...6d62 — Outcome 30611113, $1,598
- 0x20b4...aa00 — Outcome 30611113, $1,512
- 0xb57a...b8c3 — Outcome 30611113, $1,440 (76% win rate)
- 0x8da2...ab27 — Outcome 30611113, $1,000
- 0x81a6...762e — Outcome 30611113, $1,000
- 0xee67...67a6 — Outcome 30611113, $960
- 0x3e26...3edf — Outcome 30611113, $834
