Part of: What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?
This prediction market asks whether the S&P 500 (SPX) will print a 1-minute regular-hours low at or below 7,100 at any point before the close of trading on June 30, 2026. It resolves based on Yahoo Finance 1-minute data, and PolySpotter currently tracks $1,968 in smart money activity with 1 signal, including a profitable serial macro bettor alert.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,968.
Categories: S&P 500, Indicies, Finance, Monthly, S&P, SPX
Notable Trades
Profitable serial macro bettor
A profitable serial cross-market trader put a bet more than 3x the market’s 24h volume on No in a thin SPX market.
- This bettor has won 65% of 564 resolved trades and is up $68k lifetime.
- The $2.0k No buy was over 3x this market’s entire 24h volume.
- They have traded across 41 events, suggesting a repeat macro/market pattern rather than a one-off bet.
$1,968 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%
Top Holders
- 0xa661...ef0e — Yes, $3,783
- 0x264c...baca — No, $3,280 (65% win rate)
- 0x4127...64da — Yes, $1,022
- 0x1229...df38 — No, $1,000 (70% win rate)
- 0x5226...8554 — No, $920 (75% win rate)
- 0xa0dd...1b9b — Yes, $735 (86% win rate)
- 0xe948...ecc7 — Yes, $684 (88% win rate)
- 0x3547...7d87 — No, $615
- 0x1c86...c427 — No, $599
- 0x92c2...881b — Yes, $466
Related Theses
Iran deal timing arbitrage
Covers 5 related markets
S&P opens lower May 19
Covers 1 related market
WTI rises on May 19
Covers 1 related market
SPY rises on May 27
Covers 1 related market
