Part of: What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of May 11 2026?

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of May 11 2026?

This Polymarket market asks whether the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) will record a 1-minute candle low at or below $730 during regular trading hours in the week of May 11, 2026. It resolves on May 15, 2026, based only on prices from the primary exchange session, excluding pre-market and after-hours trading. PolySpotter is tracking $1,249 in smart money activity and 1 recent smart money signal for this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of May 11 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,249.

Categories: Finance, Weekly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Stocks, Equities, SPY, Rewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50

Notable Trades

Profitable serial macro trader

Serial cross-market trader with a long profitable history is buying No in a thin SPY level market, and the position has already moved in their favor.

  • This bettor has a large track record: 513 resolved bets, 64% wins, and about $57k in lifetime profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 32 events and $325k in flagged activity, suggesting a repeatable macro/options-style strategy.
  • The market is thin with only about $4.2k traded in 24h, and their 53¢ entry has already moved to 58¢.

$1,249 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0x264c...baca No, $2,368 (64% win rate)
  2. 0xc8ab...6418 Yes, $1,058 (47% win rate)
  3. 0xf92c...87f7 Yes, $800
  4. 0x38d8...ea7c No, $679 (45% win rate)
  5. 0x0785...ecb4 Yes, $443
  6. 0xc12a...dc73 No, $404 (68% win rate)
  7. 0xb307...9c25 Yes, $371
  8. 0xa540...0b43 No, $271 (41% win rate)
  9. 0x6f67...102c Yes, $216
  10. 0x0302...c8c7 No, $192

Related Theses

SPY avoids 730 crash

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

SPY rallies to $750

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of May 11 2026?

2dWhat will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of May 11 2026?$1,249 tracked1 signalFinanceWeeklyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceStocksEquitiesSPYRewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50
Yes
34¢
No
67¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of May 11 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Price History — “No
75¢
50¢
26¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of May 11 2026?

2h ago

$1,249 on No at 53¢

53¢67¢14¢

Related Theses