Part of: World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $38,811.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Team Props, Tournament Futures

Notable Trades

80% winner fades Scotland

Proven sharp wallet with an 80% long-run win rate and $628k profit is buying Scotland No amid strong cross-market activity and a major price move.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $628k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.25M deployed across 464 events.
They bought No at 80¢ before it moved to 90¢, matching a sharp 1-day collapse in Scotland’s Yes odds.

$1,051 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

98% winner fading Scotland

Sharp wallet with a 98% resolved win rate and strong profit is buying Scotland No as part of a broader World Cup cross-market thesis.

This bettor has won 58 of 59 resolved bets and is up $43k lifetime.
They have placed nearly $12k across 6 related World Cup markets, suggesting a broader tournament thesis.
Entry at 26¢ on No implies a contrarian view against Scotland advancing.

$3,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

98% winner fading Scotland

Sharp wallet with a 98% resolved win rate and strong profit is buying Scotland No as part of a broader World Cup cross-market thesis.

This bettor has won 58 of 59 resolved bets and is up $43k lifetime.
They have placed nearly $12k across 6 related World Cup markets, suggesting a broader tournament thesis.
Entry at 26¢ on No implies a contrarian view against Scotland advancing.

$1,629 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

98% winner fading Scotland

Sharp wallet with a 98% resolved win rate and strong profit is buying Scotland No as part of a broader World Cup cross-market thesis.

This bettor has won 58 of 59 resolved bets and is up $43k lifetime.
They have placed nearly $12k across 6 related World Cup markets, suggesting a broader tournament thesis.
Entry at 26¢ on No implies a contrarian view against Scotland advancing.

$1,513 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

88% winner fading favorite

Sharp long-term profitable wallet with an 88% historical win rate is fading Scotland at 76% Yes, converting to a BUY No at 24¢.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $235K lifetime.
They have traded across 57 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off bet.
Selling Yes at 76¢ means the copyable side is buying No at 24¢.

$1,477 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

87% winner fades favorite

Despite weak low-activity signals, this is worth surfacing because a highly profitable 87% lifetime bettor is taking the contrarian No side against Scotland advancing.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $28K lifetime.
They sold Yes twice, effectively buying No around 21.5¢ against the market’s 81% Yes price.
The bet is contrarian while Yes has risen about 11 points in the past day.

$5,717 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

Profitable sharp buying Yes

A highly experienced profitable wallet with an 87% resolved-bet win rate made a $6.9k Yes buy that was over 3x the market’s 24h volume.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $28.3k lifetime across $2.5M traded.
The $6.9k buy was more than 3x this market’s 24h volume, showing unusual conviction in a quiet market.
Entry at 71¢ means they are backing Scotland as a strong favorite to advance.

$6,940 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor is making a net pro-Scotland position with meaningful size on a relatively thin World Cup market.

This bettor has won 71% of 602 resolved bets and is up about $1.2M lifetime.
They have traded across 401 events with over $3.0M deployed, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process.
The net position is strongly Yes, with about $13.8K bought on Yes versus $2.3K on No.

$16,083 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%

88% winner buying thin market

Sharp profitable sports bettor with an 88% long-run win rate is buying Scotland Yes in a thin World Cup market.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $230k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 43 events with the same 88% win rate.
The $1.4k buy is large for this quiet market, entering Yes at 72¢.

$1,400 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%