Part of: World Cup Group I Winner
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
This prediction market asks whether Senegal will win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11–27, 2026. It resolves based on the official FIFA group winner, including FIFA tiebreakers if teams finish level, with an “Other” outcome if no winner is declared within the market’s timeframe. PolySpotter currently tracks $3,012 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,012.
Categories: Soccer, Sports, world cup, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor in quiet market
Sharp wallet override: an 80% winner with positive lifetime P&L placed a $3k No bet that nearly matched the market’s entire 24h volume.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $21,726 lifetime.
- The $3,012 bet was 94% of the market’s 24h volume, showing meaningful conviction in a quiet market.
- They bought No at 90¢, backing the high-probability side against Senegal winning the group.
$3,012 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $13,250
- 0xb47e...c602 — Yes, $5,000
- 0xe734...4f0c — Yes, $5,000 (43% win rate)
- 0xc984...37ca — No, $3,346 (80% win rate)
- 0x53ec...df91 — Yes, $2,001 (48% win rate)
- 0xcaab...24dd — No, $2,000 (78% win rate)
- 0x35b2...f329 — Yes, $1,288 (57% win rate)
- 0xadfb...c2ef — Yes, $1,284
- 0x8a7c...3016 — Yes, $1,112
- 0x8bf3...6077 — Yes, $1,057
