Cross-Market Thesis

“Russia won't capture Kostyantynivka”

This trader is expressing a view that Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?, Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?, Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $5,660 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0xc984e67% win rate

Total

$5,660

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?
    $3,140 @ 69¢
  2. 2Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
    $1,297 @ 80¢
  3. 3Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
    $1,223 @ 52¢
Russia won't capture Kostyantynivka — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter