Part of: Mexico vs. South Africa
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $160,304.
Categories: Sports, Games, FIFA World Cup, Soccer
Notable Trades
Last-minute underdog cluster
Three wallets bought $10.3k of South Africa Yes at 11¢ right at resolution, with a serial near-resolution bettor and profitable high-volume wallets involved.
- Three wallets put $10.3k on the same 11¢ underdog outcome right as the match was resolving.
- One wallet has made 147 near-resolution bets across 131 markets, suggesting a repeat live-timing edge.
- Two participating wallets are profitable overall, including one up $4.0M lifetime on large volume.
$10,283 on Yes
Profitable serial sports bettor
A proven profitable serial sports bettor put $95.4k on No, supported by an 80% resolved win rate, $1.12M lifetime profit, and a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $1.12M lifetime.
- They placed a large $95.4k bet on No just before the scheduled match time.
- Market volume spiked 108x above its historical average, adding momentum behind the move.
$95,400 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
89% winner backs No
Surfacing because a highly proven serial cross-market sports trader with an 89% resolved win rate bought $14.5k of No, alongside a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $168k lifetime.
- They have traded across 140 events, making this a strong repeatable sports-betting pattern.
- A $14.5k buy came during a 108x pre-game volume spike, reinforcing the No side.
$14,489 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
97% winner buying No
Sharp sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate bought South Africa No at 90¢, making the wallet track record the key signal despite the modest stake.
- This bettor has won 69 of 71 resolved positions and is up about $10k lifetime.
- They bought No at 90¢ in a highly liquid market, suggesting confidence despite limited upside.
- Their historical wins came at much lower average odds, so the record is not just from betting heavy favorites.
$1,521 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with 3,320 resolved bets bought South Africa No at 90¢, making the wallet track record the main signal despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor is up $2.65M lifetime across more than 3,300 resolved bets.
- They have traded across 1,859 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
- Buying No at 90¢ is a high-confidence favorite position with limited upside but strong historical backing.
$3,214 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%
Repeat new wallet caught misprice
Repeat new wallet appears to have caught a major sports mispricing, buying No at 31¢ before it moved to 90¢ while also hedging with cheap Yes.
- This new wallet has been flagged 12 times and is already up $5.3K on $42K invested.
- The bettor bought No at 31¢ before it moved to 90¢, suggesting they caught a major pricing edge.
- They also bought Yes at 11¢, creating a hedged position rather than a simple one-way bet.
$4,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 33%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A proven profitable serial cross-market bettor bought South Africa No at 90¢, with a 75% win rate across 1,082 resolved trades and $187k lifetime profit.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $187k lifetime.
- They have traded across 174 events and $1.7M of detected cross-market volume.
- Entry at 90¢ is a low-upside favorite bet, but the wallet has a long profitable track record.
$1,800 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%
Proven sports grinder buying favorite
Surface because a highly active cross-market sports bettor with a 75% win rate and $187k lifetime profit is buying No at 90¢.
- This bettor has won 75% of 1,082 resolved bets and is up $187k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 173 events with $1.7M in tracked volume.
- Buying No at 90¢ backs the heavy favorite side with a small but proven-edge bettor.
$2,700 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%
New wallet backs underdog
A brand-new wallet made a $4.6k underdog bet alongside a 76x pre-event volume spike, suggesting possible event-driven positioning despite no track record.
- A brand-new wallet put $4.6k on the 11¢ underdog before the match.
- Market activity is running 76x above its historical average, suggesting fresh pre-game positioning.
- Entry at 11¢ implies a high-upside bet if this bettor has an edge.
$4,587 on Yes
97% serial bettor
A massive-sample serial cross-market bettor with a 97% resolved win rate bought $11.2k of No at 90¢ amid a 42x pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 97% of 1,767 resolved trades and is up $35k lifetime.
- They put $11.2k on No at 90¢, backing South Africa not to win in regulation.
- Market activity is surging, with volume 42x above its historical average.
$11,160 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 13831437, $334,539
- 0x6c4c...7727 — Outcome 11530786, $122,085
- 0xc3a8...a539 — Outcome 11530786, $108,819 (100% win rate)
- 0x2af9...513c — Outcome 11530786, $100,000
- 0x0162...f21c — Outcome 11530786, $44,643
- 0x16dc...adee — Outcome 11530786, $33,577
- 0x2759...2b38 — Outcome 11530786, $30,000 (48% win rate)
- 0x1d94...9100 — Outcome 11530786, $26,597
- 0xa93b...425b — Outcome 11530786, $26,349
- 0x26e9...cd29 — Outcome 11530786, $21,379 (81% win rate)
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