Part of: World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $50,521.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Team Props, Tournament Futures
Notable Trades
Profitable bettor contrarian cluster
A profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes and two other wallets closed No exposure in the same direction, creating an $11.1k contrarian South Korea Yes cluster despite the market later falling sharply.
- A proven cross-market bettor up $111k bought $5.2k of Yes at 32¢.
- Three wallets moved $11.1k toward Yes while the order book shows only $8.5k of liquidity.
- Yes has since fallen to 6%, so this is a contrarian sharp-bettor follow rather than a momentum trade.
$11,076 on Yes
Serial soccer market trader
Serial cross-market trader bought South Korea No at 73¢ before a sharp move to 94¢ amid a large volume spike, though their long-term P&L is roughly flat.
- This bettor has traded 124 related markets across 75 events with a 73% hit rate.
- They bought No at 73¢ before the market moved to 94¢, showing strong timing on this move.
- Market volume spiked 16x as the odds shifted sharply against South Korea advancing.
$2,190 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
79% winner cross-market thesis
A proven 79% win-rate wallet is buying No as part of a 3-market World Cup qualification thesis, with positive lifetime P&L and recent market momentum in the same direction.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up about $6.0K lifetime.
- They are betting across 3 related World Cup markets, suggesting a broader qualification thesis.
- The market has moved sharply toward No, and this trade adds $3.6K at 84¢.
$3,613 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp serial World Cup bettor
Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 76% record and +$302k lifetime P&L bought No on South Korea advancing after a major price move against Yes.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $302k lifetime.
- They have traded across 124 markets and 71 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge.
- South Korea’s Yes odds have fallen 73.5% this week, and this trader is adding to the No side at 82¢.
$7,733 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
95% winner buying the dip
Sharp 95% winning wallet with strong lifetime profit is adding a cross-market World Cup position on South Korea Yes at 18¢ after a large price drop.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $43K lifetime.
- They have $27.6K spread across 7 related World Cup markets, suggesting a broader tournament thesis.
- Entry at 18¢ comes after a steep price drop, implying they see a strong rebound opportunity.
$1,737 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
98% winner buying NO
Elite 98% win-rate wallet bought No on South Korea advancing, with strong serial cross-market performance and immediate favorable price movement.
- This bettor has won 177 of 180 resolved positions and is up $56K lifetime.
- They are a proven cross-market trader across 27 events with a 98% hit rate.
- Bought No at 77¢ and the market has already moved to 82¢, backing their read.
$2,310 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
Serial World Cup thesis bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor put $10k on No while building a $76k World Cup advancement thesis across four related markets, though their lifetime P&L is negative.
- This bettor is active across 84 events and has placed $76k across four related World Cup markets.
- They bought No at 79¢ after a major move against South Korea, backing the current momentum.
- The wallet wins 71% of resolved bets, though it is down about $65k lifetime.
$10,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
Sharp serial World Cup bettor
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 82% record and strong lifetime profit is buying South Korea not to advance after a major odds move.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $104,780 lifetime.
- They have traded 30 markets across 25 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports edge.
- Buying No at 59¢ after Yes fell about 47% in a day shows they are leaning into the move.
$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
New profitable wallet buys dip
A 1-day-old wallet with a small perfect early record placed a $3.8k contrarian BUY on South Korea Yes after a sharp price drop.
- This new wallet is 4-for-4 on resolved trades and already up $222.
- They bought $3.8k of Yes at 44¢ after the market fell about 40% in a day.
- Entry at 44¢ implies they see South Korea advancing as better than a coin flip.
$3,761 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume bettor with a long cross-market track record bought South Korea Yes after a 10-point dip.
- This bettor has won 69% of 943 resolved bets and is up about $921k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 151 events and $1.5M in flagged related markets.
- They bought Yes at 83¢ after the market fell 10 points, suggesting confidence in a rebound.
$1,268 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%
Top Holders
- 0x9106...afcb — Outcome 11459891, $154,417 (72% win rate)
- 0xda3a...381f — Outcome 11459891, $30,297 (51% win rate)
- 0x1a2f...647a — Outcome 11459891, $20,556 (65% win rate)
- 0xecaa...77a9 — Outcome 11459891, $19,339 (70% win rate)
- 0xeb52...f12e — Outcome 11459891, $10,700
- 0xc6bc...eab7 — Outcome 11459891, $9,041 (100% win rate)
- 0x661d...4dc6 — Outcome 11459891, $6,178 (68% win rate)
- 0xa5b3...3da8 — Outcome 11459891, $5,270
- 0x5207...686b — Outcome 11459891, $4,901 (54% win rate)
- 0xc2e5...b3a5 — Outcome 11459891, $4,059 (68% win rate)
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