Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,669.
Categories: Tech, Business, Finance, IPOs, Elon Musk, Big Tech, SpaceX, IPO, Space, Rewards 50, 4.5, 100
Notable Trades
Serial cross-market valuation bettor
Serial cross-market trader with a broad SpaceX valuation thesis bought No on a thin market, though their lifetime P&L is slightly negative despite a high hit rate.
- This bettor has traded 466 markets across 381 events and wins 90% of resolved bets.
- They have $16.8K positioned across two related SpaceX IPO valuation markets.
- This $1.7K buy was 62% of the market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet order book.
$1,669 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $26,849
- 0x59db...c353 — Yes, $4,688
- 0xb962...33d8 — Yes, $3,459
- 0x56ad...f13e — Yes, $3,000 (53% win rate)
- 0x3a8a...7699 — No, $2,500 (90% win rate)
- 0xfc76...0ad0 — Yes, $2,271
- 0xd5b9...e44e — Yes, $1,417
- 0xc8ab...6418 — Yes, $1,156 (48% win rate)
- 0x8951...6cee — Yes, $1,111
- 0xe556...4659 — Yes, $1,014
