Part of: SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
This prediction market asks whether SpaceX’s market capitalization will be between $1.5 trillion and $2.0 trillion at the closing price on the last trading day of the month in which SpaceX completes an IPO. If SpaceX does not IPO before 2028, the market resolves to “No IPO before 2028.” PolySpotter currently tracks $2,335 in smart money activity on this market, including a recent signal from an 84% winner buying NO.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its Initial Public Offering (IPO). The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,335.
Categories: IPOs, Tech, SpaceX, Business, Elon Musk, Finance, IPO, Big Tech, Space
Notable Trades
84% winner buying NO
A proven profitable wallet with an 84% resolved win rate bought No despite only a weak low-activity signal.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $21.9K lifetime.
- They bought No at 81¢ after Yes fell 18 points over the past day.
- Entry implies a lower-risk bet that SpaceX will not land in this valuation range after IPO.
$2,335 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $14,214
- 0xc2d5...2884 — Yes, $10,000 (46% win rate)
- 0xe828...5cea — No, $2,883 (84% win rate)
- 0xcf07...c770 — No, $2,519 (32% win rate)
- 0x5011...220e — Yes, $2,455 (58% win rate)
- 0xc5c1...0e00 — No, $2,001
- 0xc8ab...6418 — No, $1,500 (47% win rate)
- 0x9a25...30ee — Yes, $1,000
- 0xb6b4...6709 — Yes, $965
- 0xf350...f3ff — Yes, $809 (57% win rate)
