Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,400.

Categories: SpaceX, Culture, Science, Big Tech, Elon Musk, Tech

Notable Trades

86% winner buying Yes

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 86% resolved win rate bought Yes despite the market already pricing it high.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up about $1.06M lifetime.
They have traded across 291 events with over $7.4M in total volume, suggesting a durable edge.
They paid 90¢ for Yes, above the current 84¢ price, so the market now offers a better entry than their fill.

$2,400 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

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0x477a...2d8e — Outcome 70905787, $1,988
0xd5b9...e44e — Outcome 12348579, $1,521 (60% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?

ResolvedSpaceX Starship Flight Test 12$2,400 tracked1 signalSpaceXCultureScienceBig TechElon MuskTech

If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.