Part of: SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?

If the 14th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,041.

Categories: Tech, SpaceX, Culture, Science, Big Tech, Elon Musk

Notable Trades

New wallet scaling into No

A new wallet is adding a sizable No position in an extremely illiquid market, though it lacks a proven track record.

  • This 26-day-old wallet added $1,041 to an existing No position worth nearly $2,000.
  • The trade represented over 1,000% of reported 24-hour volume in a market with only about $116 liquidity.
  • No was bought at 64¢, broadly matching the 63% market probability, so the signal is conviction and market illiquidity rather than a clear demonstrated edge.

$1,041 on No

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14$1,041 tracked1 signalTechSpaceXCultureScienceBig TechElon Musk
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

If the 14th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

Notable Trades

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?

2026-09-17 15:48 UTC

$1,041 on No at 64¢

64¢→100¢↑36¢