Part of: World Cup: Spain Stage of Elimination

Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,991.

Categories: Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Stage of Elimination

Notable Trades

71% serial cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader effectively bought Yes at 60¢, reinforcing a sharp move toward Spain semifinal elimination.

This bettor wins 71% of resolved bets and is up nearly $960k lifetime.
They have traded across 233 events, suggesting this is part of a broad World Cup positioning strategy.
This sell of No is effectively a Yes buy at 60¢, with Yes already up 34% this week.

$3,991 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 41306772, $17,058
0x3167...1cc7 — Outcome 11002493, $16,430
0x0121...f722 — Outcome 11002493, $8,654 (58% win rate)
0x5a21...9318 — Outcome 11002493, $3,437 (60% win rate)
0x16a8...e652 — Outcome 11002493, $3,217 (74% win rate)
0xf311...aed6 — Outcome 11002493, $2,450
0x6bba...5fa8 — Outcome 11002493, $2,350
0x23d8...0288 — Outcome 11002493, $1,874 (84% win rate)
0xec8c...8961 — Outcome 11002493, $1,833 (100% win rate)
0x3879...d8c3 — Outcome 11002493, $1,000

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Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

ResolvedWorld Cup: Spain Stage of Elimination$3,991 tracked1 signalSoccerSportsFIFA World Cup2026 FIFA World CupStage of Elimination

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Spain is eliminated. If Spain wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Spain is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Spain based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.