Cross-Market Thesis

“Cross-Market Thesis”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?, and 2 more are correlated outcomes, committing $14,622 to this thesis across 5 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0xecaa868% win rate

Total

$14,622

Markets

5

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
    $3,839 @ 64¢
  2. 2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
    $2,341 @ 73¢
  3. 3US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
    $3,128 @ 81¢
  4. 4US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
    $1,006 @ 83¢
  5. 5US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
    $4,308 @ 72¢