Part of: World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16

Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This prediction market asks whether Spain will reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. It resolves “Yes” if Spain advances to the knockout stage, and “No” if they are mathematically eliminated or if the tournament/round is not declared by the stated deadline. PolySpotter is tracking $3,627 in smart money activity on this market, including 1 recent signal from a contrarian cross-market bettor.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,627.

Categories: Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup, world cup, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Team Props, Tournament Futures

Notable Trades

Contrarian cross-market bettor

Contrarian No bet from a high-win-rate cross-market trader, though the wallet's lifetime P&L is negative and the market has moved against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades, but is slightly down overall, so the track record is mixed.
  • They put $3.6K against Spain advancing, a large share of recent volume in a relatively quiet market.
  • The same wallet has been active across 4 related World Cup markets, suggesting a broader tournament thesis.

$3,627 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe8c2...3048 — No, $10,084 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x8f14...1e77 — Yes, $7,812 (63% win rate)
  3. 0xda3a...381f — No, $6,779 (52% win rate)
  4. 0xde04...fa37 — No, $5,307 (49% win rate)
  5. 0xe907...cff6 — Yes, $4,724 (46% win rate)
  6. 0x46eb...ba8c — Yes, $3,000 (13% win rate)
  7. 0x478f...f5d9 — No, $2,775 (65% win rate)
  8. 0x825a...f465 — No, $2,009
  9. 0x3f2e...05a6 — Yes, $2,000
  10. 0x373a...f4c1 — No, $1,748 (56% win rate)

Related Theses

France England advance, Iberians falter

Covers 4 related markets

Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

15dWorld Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16$3,627 tracked1 signalSoccerSportsFIFA World Cupworld cup2026 FIFA World CupTeam PropsTournament Futures
Yes
72¢
No
28¢

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Yes”
86¢
77¢
68¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

2h ago

$3,627 on No at 39¢

39¢→28¢↓11¢

Related Theses

France England advance, Iberians falter
Wallet_0xbfb81 trades 4 related markets
Will Spain reach the Round of …Will France reach the Round of…Will England reach the Round o…