Part of: Spain vs. Cabo Verde
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 15, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $257,312.
Categories: Soccer, Sports, Games, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
14-wallet fade of draw spike
A 14-wallet cluster put $76.7k on No while the market was exploding in volume and price, though the signal is mixed because an even larger linked group is betting Yes.
- 14 wallets put $76.7k on No, fading a huge move that pushed the draw price up about 45 points in one day.
- This market is seeing a 37x volume spike, with $2.6M traded in the last 24 hours.
- The signal is conflicted: a larger 43-wallet linked group has $185.6k on Yes, so this is a high-volatility opposing-flow setup.
$76,747 on No
45-wallet draw surge
Massive one-sided Yes flow from 45 wallets, including linked funders and several strong historical bettors, pushed the draw market from mid-prices to 100%.
- 45 wallets bought $180K of Yes, with 8 wallets sharing a funder, before the market moved to 100%.
- Several participating bettors have strong records, including one who wins 93% of resolved bets and another who wins 89%.
- The market saw a 40x volume spike and a 44-point Yes price jump, showing broad momentum behind the same outcome.
$180,565 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $596,557
- 0x0346...52a5 — No, $305,401 (53% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Yes, $236,438 (63% win rate)
- 0x3f3a...e8fd — Yes, $211,650 (64% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — No, $192,230 (54% win rate)
- 0x433f...a0dc — Yes, $152,000 (64% win rate)
- 0x9f2f...2ca8 — No, $150,000 (51% win rate)
- 0xaac2...e8ce — Yes, $101,241 (96% win rate)
- 0x4337...8882 — Yes, $83,134 (74% win rate)
- 0xe907...cff6 — Yes, $82,004 (47% win rate)
