Spain vs. Cabo Verde
45 signals across 2 markets · $2,941,655 tracked · resolves Jun 15, 2026
Spain vs. Cabo Verde is a FIFA World Cup prediction-market event for the June 15, 2026 matchup, centered on whether Spain will win. PolySpotter tracks the live market odds alongside smart money activity, including a recent signal from a profitable contrarian whale.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 99-wallet linked No cluster
Massive coordinated No flow from 99 wallets, including linked funder clusters and multiple high-performing serial traders, drove a sharp price move against Spain.
$941,571Score: 45.2 - Sharp cluster buying dip
Large coordinated Yes buying on Spain is worth surfacing because it includes many wallets with strong resolved track records and linked-funder clusters, despite some opposing No flow and a short-term price drop.
$257,901Score: 40.8 - New wallet in Yes cluster
A brand-new wallet bought about $29k of Spain Yes as part of a much larger one-sided cluster, though the price has already moved well above the wallet’s entry.
$29,423Wallet win rate: 50%Score: 30.7 - 14-wallet fade of draw spike
A 14-wallet cluster put $76.7k on No while the market was exploding in volume and price, though the signal is mixed because an even larger linked group is betting Yes.
$76,747Score: 27.5 - 45-wallet draw surge
Massive one-sided Yes flow from 45 wallets, including linked funders and several strong historical bettors, pushed the draw market from mid-prices to 100%.
$180,565Score: 26.6 - Sharp in 71-wallet Yes wave
Sharp 87% winner bought Yes, backed by a very large one-sided cluster despite the market moving sharply against the entry.
$1,008Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 21.7 - 84-wallet No surge
Strong coordinated No flow from 84 wallets, including a new repeat large bettor, caught a massive late move from roughly 50¢ to 100¢.
$14,841Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 21.1 - Sharp 22-wallet No wave
A large 22-wallet cluster, including several highly profitable sharp bettors, aggressively bought No and pushed Spain's win odds down sharply.
$316,166Score: 21.1 - 89% winner joins Yes cluster
A highly profitable 89% winner bought Spain Yes at 36¢ alongside a large 71-wallet same-direction cluster despite a major price drop.
$3,061Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 20.7 - 84-wallet linked No flow
High-conviction one-sided No flow from 84 wallets, including linked funding, drove a major price move against Spain.
$3,162Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 18.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0x3f3aa7…e8fd$365,465 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 57% wins
- 0xed64a7…217d$335,763 · 1 market · 2 alerts
- 0xa49bec…4c40$90,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0x06c0d0…bc23$88,593 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x2c3350…0563$86,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 57% wins
- 0xc9eb41…6a67$63,000 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 100% wins
- 0x06f22f…1269$29,423 · 1 market · 1 alert · 50% wins
- 0x27f738…44b0$19,896 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 88% wins
- 0x794d64…53c8$14,841 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0xe23b8c…7c42$7,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
FAQs
What are the Spain vs. Cabo Verde prediction market odds?
This event tracks Polymarket odds for Spain vs. Cabo Verde, with the active market focused on whether Spain wins on June 15, 2026. Odds can move as traders react to team news, lineup expectations, and betting flow.
What outcome is being traded for Spain vs. Cabo Verde?
The child market for this event asks whether Spain will win on June 15, 2026. Traders can use the market price as a crowd-implied probability for that outcome.
What is the smart money doing on Spain vs. Cabo Verde?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,800 in smart money activity across this event, including one recent signal described as a profitable new contrarian whale. That means a historically successful trader has taken a position that may differ from consensus expectations.
When does the Spain vs. Cabo Verde market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by June 15, 2026 at 16:00 UTC, based on the outcome of the FIFA World Cup match between Spain and Cabo Verde.