84 wallets all bought No, totaling $664k in the same direction. This 2-day-old wallet put $14.8k on No and has already been flagged for $27.5k in large bets. The market moved hard with them: No rose 42 points while Yes fell 53 points.

Part of: Spain vs. Cabo Verde

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 15, 2026 If Spain wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

43 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,684,343.

Categories: Soccer, Sports, Games, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

84-wallet No surge

Strong coordinated No flow from 84 wallets, including a new repeat large bettor, caught a massive late move from roughly 50¢ to 100¢.

84 wallets all bought No, totaling $664k in the same direction.
This 2-day-old wallet put $14.8k on No and has already been flagged for $27.5k in large bets.
The market moved hard with them: No rose 42 points while Yes fell 53 points.

$14,841 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

84-wallet linked No flow

High-conviction one-sided No flow from 84 wallets, including linked funding, drove a major price move against Spain.

84 wallets bought the same side, with $664k flowing into No and 24 wallets tied by funding.
The market moved sharply against Spain, with Yes dropping 53 points during the move.
This new wallet has now been flagged repeatedly, with $78.8k in notable bets and early profit shown.

$3,162 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

New wallet in Yes cluster

A brand-new wallet bought about $29k of Spain Yes as part of a much larger one-sided cluster, though the price has already moved well above the wallet’s entry.

A 2-hour-old wallet bought roughly $29k of Yes, mostly around 20–24¢.
This trade is part of a much larger wave: 71 wallets bought the same side for about $321k.
The market has already rebounded to 44¢, so the best entry was far closer to the original low-20¢ buys.

$29,423 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%

Sharp in 71-wallet Yes wave

Sharp 87% winner bought Yes, backed by a very large one-sided cluster despite the market moving sharply against the entry.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $110,758 lifetime.
71 wallets bought the same Yes side for $321,025, including 18 linked wallets.
The entry was 63¢ while Yes now trades near 44¢, so the market is offering a cheaper price than this sharp paid.

$1,008 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

89% winner joins Yes cluster

A highly profitable 89% winner bought Spain Yes at 36¢ alongside a large 71-wallet same-direction cluster despite a major price drop.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $2.3M lifetime.
71 wallets bought the same Yes side for $321K, including 18 linked wallets.
Entry at 36¢ came after a steep selloff, and the market has already rebounded to 44¢.

$3,061 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

Sharp cluster buying dip

Large coordinated Yes buying on Spain is worth surfacing because it includes many wallets with strong resolved track records and linked-funder clusters, despite some opposing No flow and a short-term price drop.

Several proven bettors are on the Yes side, including wallets winning 82%–100% of resolved trades with strong profits.
55 wallets bought the same outcome for about $258k, with 16 wallets tied through shared funding.
They are buying after Spain’s odds fell about 27 points today, suggesting a coordinated dip-buying view.

$257,901 on Yes

32-wallet No wave

High-conviction coordinated No flow: 32 wallets bought the same side for $419k, with 5 linked wallets sharing a funder and volume spiking sharply as Yes sold off.

32 wallets are betting the same way, with $419k of one-sided No buying.
5 wallets share the same funder, suggesting coordinated conviction behind this move.
Volume spiked 31x while Yes fell 27 points in a day, supporting the No momentum.

$1,865 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%

32-wallet No surge

High-conviction one-sided flow: 32 wallets bought No for about $420k, alongside a repeat new wallet entering at 29¢ before No moved to 38¢.

32 wallets are all buying No, totaling about $420k on the same side.
This 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts with $25k flagged.
No was bought at 29¢ and is now around 38¢, showing the market is already moving with the flow.

$1,633 on No | Wallet win rate: 45%

96% winner buying Yes

A highly profitable 96% win-rate bettor bought Spain Yes, with a strong serial cross-market record and a pre-event volume spike supporting attention despite the price moving lower since entry.

This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $79k lifetime.
They have traded across 54 events with the same 96% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
They bought Yes at 73¢, while the market is now around 62¢, offering a cheaper entry than the original trade.

$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%

Profitable new sports wallet

A 4-day-old wallet with early profits and repeated flagged bets bought Spain Yes despite a large pre-event volume spike, though the market has since moved against its 74¢ entry.

This new wallet is 5-for-5 so far and up $1,761 on $14,069 invested.
It has been flagged 6 times in 4 days, with over $10,000 in notable positions already.
The entry was 74¢, but the market has fallen to 62¢, making this a higher-risk follow despite the wallet’s early record.

$1,243 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%