Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $548,901.

Categories: Soccer, Sports, Games, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

15-wallet funded NO cluster

A large linked-wallet cluster is backing No with nearly $230k, supported by a few strong track records, though the market has since moved sharply against their 70¢ entries.

15 wallets tied to the same funder are backing No, with about $230k on the side.
A proven bettor with 116 wins in 116 resolved bets joined the No flow.
The group paid around 70¢, while No is now near 53¢, making the current price much cheaper than their entries.

$139,029 on No

Perfect-record bettor adding NO

A perfect-record sports bettor is adding to a No position alongside one-sided flow from four wallets, making this worth surfacing despite the market being highly liquid.

This bettor has won 116 of 116 resolved bets and is up $73,093 lifetime.
They are adding to an existing No position, now with about $5,100 invested at 70¢.
Four wallets are betting the same way, putting $31,434 total on No.

$2,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

23-wallet sharp steam

A large 23-wallet one-sided move bought Spain heavily around 53–56¢ before the market surged to 87¢, with several profitable serial sports traders and sharp wallets participating.

23 wallets bought the same side for $278K, mostly around 53–56¢ before Spain jumped to 87¢.
One participating bettor wins 95% of resolved bets at average 54¢ entries and is up $93K.
The market moved +57 points in a day on $6.7M volume, confirming major momentum behind the flow.

$277,931 on Yes

97% winner adding to NO

Proven sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate is adding a large $67.6k No position, with linked-wallet context supporting the move.

This bettor has won 38 of 39 resolved trades and is up $284k lifetime.
They added $67.6k to an existing No position, bringing clear conviction at 70¢.
A second wallet shares the same funder, suggesting this may be part of a coordinated position.

$67,641 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

Profitable sports sharp adds

Proven profitable sports bettor with an 80% record is adding $60k to an existing $200k Spain Yes position at 30¢.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up about $3.0M lifetime.
They added $60k to an existing $200k Spain position at 30¢, showing continued conviction.
This wallet has traded 545 events and over $10.6M, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge.

$60,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

99% win-rate serial bettor

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 99% resolved win rate is buying Spain No at 70¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size in a liquid market.

This bettor has won 143 of 145 resolved positions and is up about $197k lifetime.
Their wins came at an average 55¢ entry, so a 99% hit rate suggests a real edge rather than just buying heavy favorites.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $525k deployed across 185 events.

$2,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10599395, $2,079,643
0xbc1b...9d59 — Outcome 10599395, $299,999 (99% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 10599395, $291,885 (62% win rate)
0x5ad7...ae48 — Outcome 10599395, $241,075 (97% win rate)
0x20f7...c804 — Outcome 59701348, $228,882
0x55f9...8615 — Outcome 10599395, $126,324 (100% win rate)
0xa2a0...7e90 — Outcome 10599395, $109,879 (57% win rate)
0x336b...1233 — Outcome 10599395, $86,645 (50% win rate)
0x1d2e...896d — Outcome 10599395, $72,265 (57% win rate)
0x87b9...2084 — Outcome 10599395, $70,423 (67% win rate)

Related Theses

Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?

ResolvedFrance vs. Spain$548,901 tracked6 signalsSoccerSportsGamesFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 14, 2026 If Spain wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Yes”

55¢

41¢

28¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction