Part of: England vs. Spain

Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 26, 2026 If Spain wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $220,185.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, UEFA Nations League, UNL Matchday

Notable Trades

Three-wallet No conviction surge

Three wallets committed $64.9K to No while a sharp price move pushed Spain's implied win probability down to 20%, though much of the flow added to existing positions.

Three wallets bought $64,865 of No, with the flow coinciding with a 47-point rise in No's price.
One wallet has a 71% win rate across more than 93,000 resolved trades and added to an existing No position.
Most entries were around 83¢, implying these bettors viewed Spain's win probability as materially below 17%; the market now prices No near 80¢.

$64,865 on No

Sharp bettor joins 16-wallet No cluster

A highly profitable bettor added to an existing No position alongside 15 other wallets, creating a strong coordinated contrarian signal despite adverse price movement.

This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $391,753 overall.
Sixteen wallets are buying No for a combined $336,139, indicating concentrated conviction against Spain.
The wallet added $4,160 to an existing $43,000 No position at 52¢, though No has since fallen to about 36¢.

$3,145 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp bettor leads 16-wallet No cluster

A highly profitable serial trader with an 87% win rate made a nearly $99,000 No bet, reinforced by 16 wallets placing $336,000 in the same direction.

This bettor wins 87% of 433 resolved positions and is up $20.7 million lifetime.
They placed a nearly $99,000 bet on No, with 15 other wallets backing the same outcome for $336,000 total.
The No price has fallen from the 55¢ entry to 36¢, creating a potentially attractive entry if the coordinated thesis holds.

$98,695 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

Sharp-backed 15-wallet Spain cluster

A large coordinated Yes push includes two highly profitable bettors with substantial historical edge and coincides with a 19-point price increase, despite meaningful opposing No flow.

15 wallets put $48,020 behind Yes, helping drive the price up 19 percentage points to 62%.
A bettor in the group has won 87% of 87 resolved bets at an average 61% entry price, while another has won 80% of 20 at 51% odds.
The market is heavily contested, with 10 wallets also buying No for $34,080, so the Yes signal carries meaningful uncertainty.

$48,020 on Yes

31-0 sharp joins 16-wallet No cluster

A proven 31-0 bettor added to a No position alongside 15 other wallets, creating a strong coordinated contrarian signal despite the market moving toward Yes.

This bettor has won 100% of 31 resolved positions, earning $9,273 on $59,093 invested.
Sixteen wallets are collectively buying No with $336,139, signaling substantial coordinated conviction.
The wallet added to an existing No position at 52¢ even as No later fell to 36¢, suggesting continued confidence rather than profit-taking.

$1,300 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

Sharp bettor joins 16-wallet No cluster

A highly profitable bettor added to an existing No position alongside 15 other wallets, creating a strong coordinated contrarian signal despite adverse price movement.

This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $391,753 overall.
Sixteen wallets are buying No for a combined $336,139, indicating concentrated conviction against Spain.
The wallet added $4,160 to an existing $43,000 No position at 52¢, though No has since fallen to about 36¢.

$4,160 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%