England vs. Spain
10 signals across 2 markets · $242,036 tracked · resolves Sep 26, 2026
Follow the Polymarket prediction market for the UEFA Nations League match between England and Spain on September 26, 2026. This event currently trades whether Spain will win, with PolySpotter tracking $137,560 in smart money and recent activity from sharp wallets on both sides.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp bettor leads 16-wallet No cluster
A highly profitable serial trader with an 87% win rate made a nearly $99,000 No bet, reinforced by 16 wallets placing $336,000 in the same direction.
$98,695Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 9.7 - Sharp-backed 15-wallet Spain cluster
A large coordinated Yes push includes two highly profitable bettors with substantial historical edge and coincides with a 19-point price increase, despite meaningful opposing No flow.
$48,020Score: 8.8 - Sharp bettor joins 16-wallet No cluster
A highly profitable bettor added to an existing No position alongside 15 other wallets, creating a strong coordinated contrarian signal despite adverse price movement.
$4,160Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 8.4 - 31-0 sharp joins 16-wallet No cluster
A proven 31-0 bettor added to a No position alongside 15 other wallets, creating a strong coordinated contrarian signal despite the market moving toward Yes.
$1,300Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 8.4 - Experienced wallets buying England
Four experienced wallets coordinated a large Yes position, including an 84% winner, while pushing England from roughly 31% to 56%.
$11,411Score: 8.2 - Sharp bettor joins 16-wallet No cluster
A highly profitable bettor added to an existing No position alongside 15 other wallets, creating a strong coordinated contrarian signal despite adverse price movement.
$3,145Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 7.8 - Three-wallet No conviction surge
Three wallets committed $64.9K to No while a sharp price move pushed Spain's implied win probability down to 20%, though much of the flow added to existing positions.
$64,865Score: 7.6 - Four-wallet No concentration
Four wallets are concentrated on No and include a highly experienced serial trader, although this individual trade appears to close a previously losing Yes position rather than add fresh conviction.
$2,440Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 7.3 - Sharp serial bettor adds to No
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 87% win rate and 18-point edge added $3,000 to No before the market moved sharply in that direction.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 4.7 - 91% win-rate serial trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 91% win rate bought No before the market moved sharply toward No.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 4.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf0318c…c80c$98,695 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0xc95ed3…1288$7,305 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 92% wins
- 0x9e161c…a795$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x6055af…5fde$3,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0x16b251…aa5a$2,440 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins
- 0x484f5b…de32$1,300 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
FAQs
What are the England vs Spain prediction-market odds?
The event tracks the market for whether Spain will win England vs Spain. Check the live Polymarket price for the current implied probability, as odds can change with new bets and market activity.
What is smart money doing in the England vs Spain market?
PolySpotter has tracked four smart-money signals totaling $137,560. Recent alerts include sharp wallets scaling into Spain Yes, while multiple sharp bettors joined a 16-wallet No cluster.
What outcome is traded in this England vs Spain event?
The available child market asks, “Will Spain win on September 26, 2026?” The event therefore focuses on the Spain-win outcome rather than a full England/draw/Spain three-way market.
When does the England vs Spain Polymarket event resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by September 26, 2026 at 18:45 UTC, following the UEFA Nations League match.