Part of: LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?

Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,455.

Categories: Rewards 20, 4.5, 50, US Election, Politics, LA, Elections, Mayoral Elections, Los Angeles Mayoral Election, Los Angeles, LA Mayor

Notable Trades

97% winner funded cluster

Surfaced because a highly profitable 97% win-rate wallet in a recurring funded cluster bought No on a political market, despite the modest trade size.

This bettor has a huge record: 97% wins across 1,038 resolved bets and +$45.7k lifetime profit.
Five wallets share the same funder, suggesting this is part of a repeated coordinated betting pattern.
They bought No at 83¢ while the market has moved 6 points toward No over the past day.

$1,961 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Surface because a highly experienced, profitable wallet with a 75% record across 695 resolved bets is taking a fresh No position and has a serial cross-market pattern.

This bettor has won 75% of 695 resolved bets and is up $23k lifetime.
They have traded across 25 events and 31 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market approach.
Buying No at 83¢ is a lower-upside but high-conviction position against a long-shot candidate.

$1,494 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 39216575, $49,612
0x7804...7025 — Outcome 21367162, $46,812 (72% win rate)
0x5235...c04a — Outcome 21367162, $20,370 (53% win rate)
0xb385...180e — Outcome 21367162, $15,516 (43% win rate)
0x661d...4dc6 — Outcome 21367162, $7,156 (68% win rate)
0x47ab...95df — Outcome 21367162, $6,000 (74% win rate)
0x3989...27b1 — Outcome 21367162, $5,187 (45% win rate)
0xa5e3...4d7e — Outcome 21367162, $4,594 (19% win rate)
0xb8ee...9e81 — Outcome 21367162, $3,023 (60% win rate)
0xb680...0db6 — Outcome 21367162, $2,583

Related Theses

Spencer Pratt won't finish first

Covers 1 related market

United Russia won't win most seats

Covers 1 related market

MicroStrategy holds its Bitcoin

Covers 1 related market

Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

ResolvedLA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?$3,455 tracked2 signalsRewards 20, 4.5, 50US ElectionPoliticsLAElectionsMayoral ElectionsLos Angeles Mayoral ElectionLos AngelesLA Mayor

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.