Part of: LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?

Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

This prediction market tracks whether Spencer Pratt will receive the most valid votes in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. The market resolves based on the June 2, 2026 election results, with a runoff only relevant if no candidate wins a majority. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,494 in smart money and 1 smart money signal for this market, with live odds reflected by the market price.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,494.

Categories: Rewards 20, 4.5, 50, US Election, Politics, LA, Elections, Mayoral Elections, Los Angeles Mayoral Election, Los Angeles, LA Mayor

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Surface because a highly experienced, profitable wallet with a 75% record across 695 resolved bets is taking a fresh No position and has a serial cross-market pattern.

  • This bettor has won 75% of 695 resolved bets and is up $23k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 25 events and 31 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market approach.
  • Buying No at 83¢ is a lower-upside but high-conviction position against a long-shot candidate.

$1,494 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0xefac...c9a1 Yes, $17,500 (56% win rate)
  2. 0x22e4...ef1c No, $16,875 (57% win rate)
  3. 0x7804...7025 Yes, $11,677 (68% win rate)
  4. 0xc6dd...4b9f No, $10,400 (67% win rate)
  5. 0x2b9d...74f5 Yes, $8,559
  6. 0x5235...c04a Yes, $6,869
  7. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $4,339
  8. 0x26ea...e315 No, $3,869
  9. 0x014c...820c Yes, $3,162 (39% win rate)
  10. 0xd8d5...8935 No, $3,000 (75% win rate)

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Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

5dLA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?$1,494 tracked1 signalRewards 20, 4.5, 50US ElectionPoliticsLAElectionsMayoral ElectionsLos Angeles Mayoral ElectionLos AngelesLA Mayor
Yes
18¢
No
83¢

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.

Price History — “No
91¢
84¢
78¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

2h ago

$1,494 on No at 83¢

83¢83¢

Related Theses