Part of: LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,100.

Categories: Rewards 20, 4.5, 50, Politics, Los Angeles, Los Angeles Mayoral Election, Elections, US Election, LA, LA Mayor, Rewards 300 4.5 50

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader fades rally

Profitable high-volume cross-market trader is taking a contrarian No position on a thin, wide-spread political market after a sharp Yes price run-up.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 1,384 resolved bets and about $79k in lifetime profit.
  • They are fading a big move after Yes rose about 22 percentage points this week.
  • The market is fairly thin with an 8-point spread, so a $1.1k contrarian bet carries some conviction.

$1,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc8ab...6418 Yes, $3,600 (47% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $3,199
  3. 0x011f...1122 No, $2,212 (41% win rate)
  4. 0x44c1...ebc1 No, $1,886 (57% win rate)
  5. 0xe8c4...395d No, $1,567 (96% win rate)
  6. 0xefac...c9a1 Yes, $1,408 (57% win rate)
  7. 0x1c14...0869 No, $1,002 (61% win rate)
  8. 0xa9d4...8f3e Yes, $820
  9. 0x23d8...0288 No, $817 (81% win rate)
  10. 0xecfa...3c6f Yes, $747

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Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

ResolvedLA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?$1,100 tracked1 signalRewards 20, 4.5, 50PoliticsLos AngelesLos Angeles Mayoral ElectionElectionsUS ElectionLALA MayorRewards 300 4.5 50
Yes
51¢
No
50¢

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.

Price History — “Yes
81¢
64¢
47¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

3h ago

$1,100 on No at 23¢

23¢50¢27¢

Related Theses