Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

This Polymarket tracks whether Switzerland will qualify from the second semi-final of Eurovision 2026, scheduled for May 14, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Switzerland advances based on the official semi-final results, and can resolve early to No if qualification becomes impossible. PolySpotter is currently tracking $34,010 in smart money on this market, including a recent whale buy on No.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $34,010.

Categories: Eurovision, Music, Culture

Notable Trades

Profitable new whale buys No

A 2-day-old wallet with strong early profits deployed $34k into a thin Eurovision market, ending with a large BUY No position that drove a major price move.

  • This 2-day-old wallet is already up about $65k and has been flagged 16 times for unusually large early bets.
  • They put $34k through a market with just $14.7k of liquidity and about $33.6k of 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction.
  • The final position is effectively a big buy on No at 67¢ after moving the market sharply, suggesting they think Switzerland is overpriced to advance.

$34,010 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

  1. 0x94c4...43ca Yes, $704 (83% win rate)
  2. 0x51fd...4272 No, $500
  3. 0x2c61...ac8b No, $200
  4. 0x695c...10a1 No, $122
  5. 0x6f08...54d3 No, $104
  6. 0x1620...f529 Yes, $100
  7. 0x28ab...2048 Yes, $52
  8. 0x75d1...7a5f Yes, $50
  9. 0x78d2...7a2b No, $20
  10. 0xad53...ef24 Yes, $14

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

29d$34,010 tracked1 signalEurovisionMusicCulture
Yes
51¢
No
50¢

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Price History — “Yes
50¢
44¢
38¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

10h ago

$34,010 on No at 67¢

67¢50¢17¢

Related Theses