This bettor has won 21 of 22 resolved bets and is up $65k lifetime. They bought Yes at 45¢, below the current 48¢ market price, suggesting they see more upside. They previously closed a No position here, so this looks like a meaningful shift toward Switzerland advancing.

Part of: Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final

Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $37,546.

Categories: Eurovision, Music, Culture

Notable Trades

86% winner buying Yes

Sharp wallet with an 86% win rate and $257,863 lifetime profit bought Switzerland Yes at 41%, making the trader's track record the main signal despite modest trade size.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $257,863 lifetime.
They bought Yes at 41¢ while the market sits near 39–40¢, suggesting they see Switzerland as undervalued.
The wallet has 242 resolved positions, so this is a proven track record rather than a one-off hit.

$1,458 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

95% winner flips Yes

Sharp wallet with a 95% resolved-bet win rate and $65k profit bought Switzerland Yes at 45%, flipping from a prior No position.

This bettor has won 21 of 22 resolved bets and is up $65k lifetime.
They bought Yes at 45¢, below the current 48¢ market price, suggesting they see more upside.
They previously closed a No position here, so this looks like a meaningful shift toward Switzerland advancing.

$2,078 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%

Profitable new whale buys No

A 2-day-old wallet with strong early profits deployed $34k into a thin Eurovision market, ending with a large BUY No position that drove a major price move.

This 2-day-old wallet is already up about $65k and has been flagged 16 times for unusually large early bets.
They put $34k through a market with just $14.7k of liquidity and about $33.6k of 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction.
The final position is effectively a big buy on No at 67¢ after moving the market sharply, suggesting they think Switzerland is overpriced to advance.

$34,010 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

Top Holders

0x56d4...9c57 — Outcome 98512663, $4,141 (86% win rate)
0x4f07...0170 — Outcome 98512663, $743 (87% win rate)
0xc825...6696 — Outcome 98512663, $300
0xf545...4036 — Outcome 98512663, $268
0x340f...6052 — Outcome 98512663, $238
0x8304...667b — Outcome 98512663, $220
0x968b...30a9 — Outcome 98512663, $186
0xcb59...cb87 — Outcome 98512663, $169
0x6cff...c3da — Outcome 30320876, $169
0xccfa...6ee7 — Outcome 98512663, $123

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Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

ResolvedEurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final$37,546 tracked3 signalsEurovisionMusicCulture

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Price History — “No”

62¢

56¢

50¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction