Event

World Cup: Group D Last Place

1 signal across 1 market · $1,113 tracked · resolves Jul 20, 2026

This event tracks prediction-market odds for the last-place finisher in Group D of the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage. The current child market focuses on whether Türkiye will finish bottom, with PolySpotter tracking $1,113 in smart money and a recent elite sharp signal in a thin market.

Markets (1)

  1. Will Türkiye finish last in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?1 signal · $1,113 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Elite sharp on thin market

    Sharp high-volume bettor with an 80% long-run win rate is buying Yes in a very thin World Cup group market, with the trade over 4x the market’s 24h volume.

    $1,113Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 2.5

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xb3cfe70ebd$1,113 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What is the World Cup Group D Last Place prediction market?

It is a Polymarket event covering outcomes related to which team finishes last in Group D at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Right now, the listed child market asks whether Türkiye will finish last in the group.

What are the odds that Türkiye finishes last in Group D?

The live Polymarket price reflects the market’s implied probability that Türkiye finishes bottom of Group D. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart money activity so you can see whether sophisticated traders are taking a side.

What is smart money doing on this event?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,113 in smart money across this event, with one recent alert described as an “elite sharp on thin market.” That suggests a notable sophisticated trader entered a market with limited liquidity, which can be important but should be interpreted carefully.

When will this Group D last-place market resolve?

The market is expected to resolve after the 2026 World Cup group stage, based on the official final Group D standings and FIFA tiebreak procedures. The event’s listed resolution deadline is July 20, 2026.

How is last place decided if teams are tied?

If multiple teams are tied at the bottom of Group D, the market resolves according to the official 2026 FIFA World Cup tiebreak procedure used to determine the group standings.