Part of: How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?
This Polymarket market asks whether the U.S. 30-year Treasury yield will reach or exceed 5.70% between September 3 and December 31, 2026. The current odds are not included in the provided market data; it resolves Yes if the threshold is reached and otherwise No after the observation period and data checks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,218.
Categories: Economy, Finance, Fed Rates, Treasuries
Notable Trades
Large macro bet in a quiet market
A $2,218 equivalent Yes position is unusually large relative to the market’s $117 daily volume and thin liquidity, though the wallet’s track record is not especially strong.
- The $2,218 trade is about 19 times the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling notable conviction.
- The wallet has a long history and is profitable overall, but its 52% win rate is not a strong edge signal.
$2,218 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 54%
Related Theses
30-year Treasury yields hit 5.70%
Covers 2 related markets